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Reply #26: This confirms what I've been saying: Kerry gets a minimum 70% [View All]

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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-15-04 04:30 PM
Response to Reply #18
26. This confirms what I've been saying: Kerry gets a minimum 70%
Edited on Thu Jul-15-04 04:34 PM by TruthIsAll
of the undecided/nader/other category: Kerry will more than 6%

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.ph...

Here's the math:

Of the 8%, .547*8= 4.376% plan to vote for Kerry
Of the 8%, .7*.314*8= 1.758% are undecided who will vote for Kerry
The total 6.13% of the 8% goes to Kerry.
Nader gets .14*8= 1.12%
That leaves Bush with .75% = 8% -1.12% -6.13%

BUSH IS TOAST!
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  -From GOP polling firm-undecided voters likely to break for kerry Bigtime demdem  Jul-15-04 02:27 PM   #0 
  - Do a little dance...  WI for Kerry   Jul-15-04 02:29 PM   #1 
  - this gives me hope  shoelace414   Jul-15-04 02:30 PM   #2 
  - Victory is inevitable  KurtNYC   Jul-15-04 02:35 PM   #3 
  - Inevitable? Hardly!  iconoclastic cat   Jul-15-04 02:53 PM   #17 
     - I'm going to take that as agreement  KurtNYC   Jul-15-04 03:07 PM   #20 
        - Yes, I do agree. My point, though, is that his demise is not a given.  iconoclastic cat   Jul-15-04 03:14 PM   #24 
  - Yet national polling trends seem to keep this contest close...why?  Old and In the Way   Jul-15-04 02:36 PM   #4 
  - Because the undecideds haven't broken YET.  MallRat   Jul-15-04 02:38 PM   #7 
  - to what extent are reported polls 'fixed' so it looks close???  bobbieinok   Jul-15-04 02:56 PM   #19 
  - Anyone read the attached memo?  sirjwtheblack   Jul-15-04 02:36 PM   #5 
  - Bush has already devoted 70% of his ads to blasting Kerry.  MallRat   Jul-15-04 02:39 PM   #10 
     - "MORE" (negativity) is all they've got...  Flubadubya   Jul-16-04 07:08 AM   #28 
  - The lackluster polls simply indicate lack of enthusiasm...  vi5   Jul-15-04 02:37 PM   #6 
  - The Undecideds Are The MODERATES  Beetwasher   Jul-15-04 02:38 PM   #8 
  - Bush's Overt Bigotry is Our Biggest Asset  LuminousX   Jul-15-04 02:40 PM   #11 
  - This is why I thought that they should have pushed the FMA to a vote  geek tragedy   Jul-15-04 03:12 PM   #23 
  - Bush is still in primary campaign mode - unprecedented for an unchallenged  yellowcanine   Jul-15-04 03:18 PM   #25 
  - Yes  lancdem   Jul-16-04 05:34 PM   #30 
     - but it's the only strategy they have  Literate Tar Heel   Jul-16-04 05:40 PM   #31 
  - Time to start talking to the moderate GOP  LuminousX   Jul-15-04 02:39 PM   #9 
  - this fits together nicely  Literate Tar Heel   Jul-15-04 02:40 PM   #12 
  - Question: How can a voter be "undecided" and "break away from Bush"...  KansDem   Jul-15-04 02:42 PM   #13 
  - The Fundamentals  louis c   Jul-16-04 07:09 AM   #29 
  - This would explain the huge push for the radical right-wing  ibegurpard   Jul-15-04 02:42 PM   #14 
  - Even more good news  quaoar   Jul-15-04 02:44 PM   #15 
  - Love that conclusion, "leaning any harder... ... they would crash right  dae   Jul-15-04 02:51 PM   #16 
  - The memo on the "approval gap"  quaoar   Jul-15-04 02:55 PM   #18 
  - This confirms what I've been saying: Kerry gets a minimum 70%  TruthIsAll   Jul-15-04 04:30 PM   #26 
     - Absolutley  louis c   Jul-16-04 07:04 AM   #27 
  - YES!  Generator   Jul-15-04 03:09 PM   #21 
  - That's where the debates come in. Undecideds usually choose then.  blm   Jul-15-04 03:12 PM   #22 
 

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