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Reply #6: It's NOT a tie. With this poll, at this time, Kerry is more likely to win [View All]

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nodictators Donating Member (977 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jun-10-04 11:59 AM
Response to Reply #1
6. It's NOT a tie. With this poll, at this time, Kerry is more likely to win
In the media they call it a tie if the difference between the two major candidates is less than the margin of error. That's not really true.

Here, Kerry has a three point lead with a 4 point margin of error. Thus, we can't say with a confidence level higher than the poll's requirement, typically 95%, that Kerry WILL win. Nevertheless, with this poll, at this time, Kerry IS more likely to win Ohio than Bush.

Hey, it's almost always better to be ahead.
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  -L.A. Times Ohio poll has Bush leading 45-42 lancdem  Jun-10-04 11:30 AM   #0 
  - It is a tie  dsc   Jun-10-04 11:32 AM   #1 
  - It is within the maegin of error  lancdem   Jun-10-04 11:46 AM   #4 
  - It's NOT a tie. With this poll, at this time, Kerry is more likely to win  nodictators   Jun-10-04 11:59 AM   #6 
  - We still have a long way to go  cjbuchanan   Jun-10-04 11:32 AM   #2 
  - Does Nader have the remaining 13% ?  kentuck   Jun-10-04 11:33 AM   #3 
  - He has 4 percent  lancdem   Jun-10-04 11:48 AM   #5 
  - OHIO sucks  lucky777   Jun-10-04 12:01 PM   #7 
     - Just curious -- I've seen a couple of posts from you.  nownow   Jun-10-04 12:17 PM   #8 
 

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