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progdonkey Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-26-04 02:33 AM
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12. depends on approval rating
I've been very concerned over the outcome of a possible terrorist attack this year. Will the country rally around Bush again? or will it call for his head? I think it all depends on his credibility at the time of the attack.

September 11th was seen by most to be a complete shock (who knew that a guy named Osama bin Laden wanted to attack the US? even Condi Rice didn't know...). Because of this, Americans rallied around the leader, believing that he had done (or would have done if intelligence existed) everything possible to protect Americans.

Now that we've had three years to catch bin Laden, fund First Responders, fund better counter-terrorism, etc., I think the American people will be less kind to Bush if another attack occurs; especially among those who accept that the Iraq war is nothing but a detour from the War on Terror. ("You had three years to go after al-Qaeda, but instead you invaded the country of al-Qaeda's enemy!")

That's not to say they'd call for his removal, though. If Bush has high approval ratings at the time of an attack, it's more likely Americans will be forgiving of him ("he did all he could"). Unfortunately for Bush, his ratings are in the gutter, and they have no hint of rising.

I predict that if another attack occurs, his base will became ten times more violent and hate-filled towards dissenters, but this will be counter-balanced by the left becoming ten times more adamant in his removal and a significant increase in Bush disapproval among moderates.

There is also the extra variable of the location of the attack and the death-toll, but I think what I said above would apply in most possible attacks.
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  -If there is a major terrorist attack, who benefits? Bush or Kerry? ringmastery  May-26-04 02:06 AM   #0 
  - Unfortunately they'd rally behind Shit For Brains  RummyTheDummy   May-26-04 02:09 AM   #1 
  - its gonna be democratic convention  syrinx9999   May-26-04 02:09 AM   #2 
  - A little American made Anthrax in the A/C system and presto ...  Sentinel Chicken   May-26-04 07:49 AM   #29 
  - Don't know about anyone else  ibegurpard   May-26-04 02:10 AM   #3 
  - Where are the biggest concentrations of  shraby   May-26-04 02:13 AM   #4 
  - Don't know...  rpannier   May-26-04 02:13 AM   #5 
  - Obviously, this would make Shrubnut an even greater failure at protecting  Zorra   May-26-04 02:13 AM   #6 
  - Since he has  shraby   May-26-04 02:17 AM   #7 
  - My feelings Exactly  Lucky Luciano   May-26-04 02:24 AM   #8 
  - well, my thoughts are  andino   May-26-04 02:25 AM   #10 
  - Bush Won't Benefit...He claims we are all safer under him - and clearly...  Pachamama   May-26-04 02:24 AM   #9 
  - Not to be rude,  lib4life   May-26-04 02:30 AM   #11 
  - But what if somebody IS looking for political benefit?  Bridget Burke   May-26-04 02:41 AM   #15 
     - Well there's a great point,  lib4life   May-26-04 03:35 AM   #18 
  - depends on approval rating  progdonkey   May-26-04 02:33 AM   #12 
  - Cheney  Senior citizen   May-26-04 02:35 AM   #13 
  - Bunker boy is a guaranteed survivor in any event  NewYorkerfromMass   May-26-04 07:04 AM   #26 
  - Reason says bushco  JimWar   May-26-04 02:40 AM   #14 
  - It Would Benefit Bush*  AndyTiedye   May-26-04 02:47 AM   #16 
  - I agree  KayLaw   May-26-04 07:01 AM   #25 
  - I agree  NewJeffCT   May-26-04 09:23 AM   #32 
  - it would benefit bush  Dont Hurt Me   May-26-04 03:31 AM   #17 
  - let's re-cap recent "events"  radfringe   May-26-04 03:36 AM   #19 
  - A little theory :  jeff30997   May-26-04 04:04 AM   #20 
  - Well they have hit business and the military so govt. this time?  izzie   May-26-04 05:24 AM   #21 
  - nobody  crozet4clark   May-26-04 06:18 AM   #22 
  - Bush  MarioJumps   May-26-04 06:49 AM   #23 
  - Hi MarioJumps!!  newyawker99   May-26-04 09:15 AM   #31 
  - It won't benefit chimp  dusty64   May-26-04 06:58 AM   #24 
  - We all lose.  LWolf   May-26-04 07:17 AM   #27 
  - It'll be an even split of swing voters  GreenPartyVoter   May-26-04 07:32 AM   #28 
  - Bush is saying he can protect America better than Kerry!  Hubert Flottz   May-26-04 07:54 AM   #30 

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