I have 2 predictions, one on Nader and one on the South

[Dob Bole]

My predictions are usually correct, and I have decent political sense (sometimes.) Here they are:

Many people are frightened by the new, and seemingly larger-than-ever Nader factor. My prediction: in November, there will be no Nader factor. As you can see here http://pollingreport.com the latest polls have Bush and Kerry 1 point apart, and Nader with six percent. The second graph on the page shows Kerry 48%, Bush 44%. While it's still far away, the result will be closer to the second poll. The reason? Nader wasn't on the ballot in many states in 2000, and without a party structure behind him it will now be even harder to do.

Prediction #2. I have won elections in the South. I have helped other people win elections in the South. My analysis is that the Democratic Nominee will carry a minimum of 30 electoral votes from the Southeast, despite the strong machine that Bush currently has in place. In addition, the Vice Presidential nominee will be a Southern Baptist.

Piece of advice: John Kerry, while dominating in domestic areas and closing in on Bush on the Iraq issue, needs to close the huge War on Terrorism gap. What was your role on September 11? What are your plans for National Security?

FIN. Flame away.