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Reply #3: Yep, hedging his bets is more like it [View All]

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magellan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jan-19-07 04:45 AM
Response to Reply #2
3. Yep, hedging his bets is more like it
If Maliki's thrown in with al-Hakim, is it possibly because the Mahdi militia has infiltrated the Iraqi Army?

If I had to guess I'd say al-Sadr is pulling his militia back into the shadows to give the US less reason to confront them, thereby relieving Maliki of any need to cross him. That's something Maliki really can't afford to do; Moqtada's parliamentary bloc keeps him in power.

Also, by taking a low profile, the Mahdi Army helps turn Iraqi/US military attention to the Sunni insurgents and the "al Qaeda in Iraq" elements who have vowed to keep fighting (although the targets differ between those groups). IOW we do the clean-up of their Sunni enemies for them. I'm sure the Shia-heavy Iraqi Army would prefer to fight Sunnis than Sadr's people too.

Whatever all the frou-frou is about, it's looking good for Maliki and the Shia and very desperate for the Sunnis.
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