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Reply #44: Here's how it works: 48% of LIKELY voters compared to 44% of REGISTERED [View All]

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0rganism Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-10-04 06:01 PM
Response to Reply #6
44. Here's how it works: 48% of LIKELY voters compared to 44% of REGISTERED
Edited on Mon May-10-04 06:02 PM by 0rganism
Likely = those who voted in the last election, maybe in a high-turnout age group

If you read the whole article, you'll notice that among the REGISTERED voters, Kerry gained 3 points and bush lost 3 points.

"Kerry pollster Mark Mellman said the new poll shows Kerry gaining ground among registered voters, a bigger group than likely voters. Kerry went from 47% to 50% in a week; Bush went from 47% to 44%. Mellman said that suggests Kerry's ad campaign and events in Iraq are taking a toll on Bush. He also said the only president 'this far behind' at this point in an election year was Gerald Ford, and he lost."

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  -Latest CNN/USAT poll--Bush approval at 46% kstewart33  May-10-04 03:06 PM   #0 
  - This is a Bullshit propoganda poll  Beetwasher   May-10-04 03:07 PM   #1 
  - Gallup's polls of likely voters over-represent Repukes  diplomats   May-10-04 03:16 PM   #9 
  - Yeah, I Know  Beetwasher   May-10-04 03:17 PM   #11 
  - "...the only president "this far behind" at this point in an election year  BadGimp   May-10-04 06:08 PM   #45 
  - To Quote Paul Simon  Yavin4   May-10-04 03:08 PM   #2 
  - What does it take  Betty   May-10-04 03:09 PM   #3 
  - They can put all the lies out for as long as they want.  DiverDave   May-10-04 03:11 PM   #4 
  - but.. but.. he's a popular wartime "President"!!  Sagan   May-10-04 03:12 PM   #5 
  - Question:  Oregonian   May-10-04 04:07 PM   #24 
  - No way is Bush winning at 48% with 46% approval.  blm   May-10-04 03:12 PM   #6 
  - that is ironic  gasperc   May-10-04 03:14 PM   #8 
  - Indeed  Beetwasher   May-10-04 03:16 PM   #10 
     - No, but they narrowed it to likely voters  diplomats   May-10-04 03:20 PM   #14 
        - Yeah, You're probably Right  Beetwasher   May-10-04 03:23 PM   #16 
           - 5 letters for you  WorstPresidentEver   May-10-04 04:11 PM   #25 
              - Nader Explains Kerry's Lower Number but Not Bush's  Beetwasher   May-10-04 04:20 PM   #27 
                 - The likely voter sample is a subset of the larger sample  diplomats   May-10-04 04:30 PM   #30 
                    - Yeah, Sorry, Should Have Included that Possibility Too!  Beetwasher   May-10-04 04:35 PM   #32 
  - Here's how it works: 48% of LIKELY voters compared to 44% of REGISTERED  0rganism   May-10-04 06:01 PM   #44 
  - Spin Spin Spin  goclark   May-10-04 03:13 PM   #7 
  - Possible to win at 46 percent?  diplomats   May-10-04 03:18 PM   #12 
  - Harry Truman  beyurslf   May-10-04 03:30 PM   #18 
     - I knew Truman wasn't popular, but I didn't what his rating was  diplomats   May-10-04 03:48 PM   #21 
     - Truman also won because of the block vote of the south  jobycom   May-10-04 05:03 PM   #33 
     - The Gallup Poll that year was way off.  Zynx   May-10-04 04:16 PM   #26 
     - They didn't poll in 1864. . .  Journeyman   May-10-04 05:51 PM   #40 
  - I was wondering about the media ho's my own self  cybildisobedience   May-10-04 03:22 PM   #15 
  - Yes, the tide is turning.  yardwork   May-10-04 03:55 PM   #23 
  - Oh ho ho  boobooday   May-10-04 03:20 PM   #13 
  - LIES that just don't add up  tom_paine   May-10-04 03:24 PM   #17 
  - Bush Approval Rating Poll chart.  lfairban   May-10-04 03:32 PM   #19 
  - This is a great site - every poll you'll ever need  Atlanticist   May-10-04 03:40 PM   #20 
     - Great site, thanks!  crossroads   May-10-04 04:23 PM   #28 
     - I didn't realize that one had graphs.  lfairban   May-10-04 05:07 PM   #34 
  - Note Kerry Leads Bush..  Teaser   May-10-04 03:53 PM   #22 
  - Good point!  crossroads   May-10-04 04:24 PM   #29 
  - I don't understand  goclark   May-10-04 04:31 PM   #31 
  - What the F*CK is Kerry's problem???  dnvechoes   May-10-04 05:35 PM   #35 
  - Nader?  othermeans   May-10-04 05:42 PM   #36 
  - No no no no no!  dnvechoes   May-10-04 05:47 PM   #39 
  - He's going to wait until he's damn-well ready, that's what  0rganism   May-10-04 05:56 PM   #42 
  - You're asking me to put a lot of trust in this guy...  dnvechoes   May-10-04 06:01 PM   #43 
     - bush is in serious trouble: his disapproval # is above his approval #  0rganism   May-10-04 06:11 PM   #46 
        - Right, but shouldn't that mean that Kerry's good to go?  dnvechoes   May-10-04 06:26 PM   #48 
           - It's still too early to "go"  0rganism   May-10-04 06:57 PM   #50 
              - That's a good point, but...  dnvechoes   May-10-04 07:02 PM   #51 
  - Kerry doesn't offer a strong alternative  Jen6   May-10-04 07:02 PM   #52 
  - The cynic in me has to ask how it can still be so high.  DemosthenesOfTheWest   May-10-04 05:43 PM   #37 
  - ## Support Democratic Underground! ##  DU GrovelBot   May-10-04 05:43 PM   #38 
  - That's GREAT NEWS for John Kerry  0rganism   May-10-04 05:53 PM   #41 
  - This is excellent news, given this is a Gallup Poll  XanthaS   May-10-04 06:22 PM   #47 
  - DO NOT despair, DUers! Bush will be toast after this summer.  loudsue   May-10-04 06:38 PM   #49 
  - "Likely voters" is a deeply suspect category  DrBB   May-10-04 07:25 PM   #53 
 

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