Zero Division
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Mon Apr-19-04 07:40 PM
Response to Original message |
| 85. Don't look at individual polls for an accurate picture |
|
Given many of the responses on this thread and in others that deal with individual poll results, I think it's safe to say that not enough DUers look at the trends found in multiple polls. Although this site has been posted many times before here, I'll post it again: http://www.radiofreemonkey.com:8080/charts / Look at this chart, for example (this is accurate up to the 18th of April)  |
| -CNN: Bush 51 Kerry 46! |
Timefortruth |
Apr-19-04 03:51 PM |
#0 |
 -
WTF?!?!?! |
slinkerwink |
Apr-19-04 03:52 PM |
#1 |
  -
It's official: WE hate our freedoms! |
keithyboy |
Apr-19-04 04:19 PM |
#36 |
| -
HUH? |
Kadie |
Apr-19-04 03:55 PM |
#2 |
| -
Dude! |
LynzM |
Apr-19-04 03:55 PM |
#3 |
| -
within MOE ... |
shockingelk |
Apr-19-04 04:17 PM |
#33 |
| -
Polls are pointless... |
KissMyAsscroft |
Apr-19-04 03:56 PM |
#4 |
| -
... |
Direckshun |
Apr-19-04 05:45 PM |
#69 |
| -
haha, it's bullshit. Even if it were correct, a 5 point lead for a "war" |
TheDonkey |
Apr-19-04 03:56 PM |
#5 |
| -
isn't that the only poll in the whole list where Bush is ahead? |
acaudill |
Apr-19-04 03:56 PM |
#6 |
| -
All other polls have Kerry ahead |
DaveSZ |
Apr-19-04 03:58 PM |
#11 |
| -
Gallup has been a puggie poll since Nixon |
OilemFirchen |
Apr-19-04 03:56 PM |
#7 |
| -
Zogby is perhaps the most reliable. The Media whore polls |
fearnobush |
Apr-19-04 07:42 PM |
#86 |
| -
I just hope |
ronatchig |
Apr-19-04 03:56 PM |
#8 |
| -
It strains my credibility |
davhill |
Apr-19-04 03:57 PM |
#9 |
| -
Bush's support is more like 35% |
liarliartieonfire |
Apr-19-04 04:00 PM |
#17 |
| -
this situation seems to reflect my life as a whole lately!! n/t |
holyrollerdem |
Apr-19-04 03:58 PM |
#10 |
| -
bush has a $106 million money advantage |
enki23 |
Apr-19-04 03:58 PM |
#12 |
| -
Pundits will explain this as being a post press conferenc bump |
soleft |
Apr-19-04 03:58 PM |
# |
| -
Didn't Know Diebold Also Did Polling |
Yavin4 |
Apr-19-04 03:58 PM |
#13 |
| -
CNN/Gallop polls |
pduck |
Apr-19-04 03:59 PM |
#14 |
| -
I think they're basically tied electorally |
lancdem |
Apr-19-04 06:29 PM |
#75 |
| -
So long as they fake high #'s for * |
alittlelark |
Apr-19-04 03:59 PM |
# |
| -
3 Magic Words: Margin of Error |
displacedtexan |
Apr-19-04 03:59 PM |
#15 |
| -
THANK YOU!!! |
yardwork |
Apr-19-04 06:27 PM |
#74 |
| -
Gallup is way off from all the other polls |
Tempest |
Apr-19-04 04:00 PM |
#16 |
| -
CNN polls - Bad: Rasmussen 45(B) - 46(K) |
RoyGBiv |
Apr-19-04 04:00 PM |
#18 |
| -
Is what is scary is how uninformed most of the people living in the US are |
nolabels |
Apr-19-04 05:54 PM |
#71 |
| -
58% US will succeed in Iraq............Succeed at what? Succeed how? |
aquart |
Apr-19-04 08:56 PM |
#93 |
| -
I don't think you could get more than two or three here at DU to agree.... |
nolabels |
Apr-19-04 10:37 PM |
#97 |
| -
How Bush #s went up in the last two weeks . . . |
webtrainer |
Apr-19-04 04:01 PM |
#19 |
| -
Who is it Who would vote for Nader |
davhill |
Apr-19-04 05:51 PM |
#70 |
| -
the same poll is front page at USAToday.com |
NeoConsSuck |
Apr-19-04 04:02 PM |
#20 |
| -
the headline |
shockingelk |
Apr-19-04 04:22 PM |
#39 |
| -
ABC/WaPo poll is coming out today. |
hedda_foil |
Apr-19-04 04:03 PM |
#21 |
| -
Screw polls!!!! |
Just Me |
Apr-19-04 04:04 PM |
#22 |
| -
They ask "undecideds" who they lean toward |
daleo |
Apr-19-04 04:05 PM |
#23 |
| -
They did a piece on NPR about Gallup's interview techniques |
Chicago Democrat |
Apr-19-04 09:02 PM |
#94 |
| -
just the opposite of what Zogby said |
still_one |
Apr-19-04 04:06 PM |
#24 |
| -
notice that all the other |
plcdude |
Apr-19-04 04:06 PM |
#25 |
| -
Ruh roh. |
Vinceklortho |
Apr-19-04 04:06 PM |
#26 |
| -
care to elaborate? |
matcom |
Apr-19-04 04:07 PM |
#27 |
| -
I'm agreeing with him for the most part these days |
Walt Starr |
Apr-19-04 04:08 PM |
# |
| -
I haven't gone that far *yet* |
pbl |
Apr-19-04 04:30 PM |
#47 |
| -
Did you people watch MTP?? |
malachibk |
Apr-19-04 05:28 PM |
#64 |
| -
couldn't have said it better |
Carolina |
Apr-19-04 07:20 PM |
#79 |
| -
Glad to! |
Vinceklortho |
Apr-19-04 04:13 PM |
#30 |
| -
Are you the keymaster? |
Walt Starr |
Apr-19-04 04:07 PM |
#28 |
| -
No, I'm the gatekeeper |
buddy22600 |
Apr-19-04 04:14 PM |
#31 |
| -
Yes.. are you the Gatekeeper? |
Vinceklortho |
Apr-19-04 04:14 PM |
#32 |
| -
I asked that question last week on the reparations thread |
pbl |
Apr-19-04 04:25 PM |
#41 |
| -
Are you one of the "lefties?" |
buff2 |
Apr-19-04 04:29 PM |
#45 |
| -
Oh yes I am. |
Vinceklortho |
Apr-19-04 04:30 PM |
#48 |
| -
Yes I am a leftie |
buff2 |
Apr-19-04 04:57 PM |
#56 |
| -
Who, in your opinion, would be an acceptable candidate for the "lefties"? |
oasis |
Apr-19-04 10:33 PM |
#96 |
| -
It's all about the sample |
jobycom |
Apr-19-04 04:08 PM |
#29 |
| -
CNN's Schneider.... |
plastic_turkeys |
Apr-19-04 04:17 PM |
#34 |
| -
He and Wolfie make CNN worse than Faux. |
Timefortruth |
Apr-19-04 04:23 PM |
#40 |
| -
Agreed. |
plastic_turkeys |
Apr-19-04 04:28 PM |
#44 |
| -
Wolf looks really short -- what is he, about 5'3"? n/t |
sspiderjohn |
Apr-19-04 05:17 PM |
#60 |
| -
What is so surprising?? |
sampsonblk |
Apr-19-04 04:17 PM |
#35 |
| -
Kerry ran a poor campaign in the primaries? WTF? |
0rganism |
Apr-19-04 07:34 PM |
#82 |
| -
WTF is right! |
sampsonblk |
Apr-20-04 01:22 AM |
#100 |
| -
OMG |
grasswire |
Apr-19-04 04:20 PM |
#37 |
| -
Every other poll from that period favors Kerry |
Argumentus |
Apr-19-04 04:21 PM |
#38 |
| -
Should Shrub be reelected or is it time for someone new - |
54anickel |
Apr-19-04 04:26 PM |
#42 |
| -
I don't even look at the polls anymore. |
dawn |
Apr-19-04 04:27 PM |
#43 |
| -
everyone believes polls when Kerry is ahead |
wasichu |
Apr-19-04 04:30 PM |
#46 |
| -
Same reason freepers don't believe |
buff2 |
Apr-19-04 04:37 PM |
#51 |
| -
Let's organize a one-day boycott... |
sugarman |
Apr-19-04 04:35 PM |
#49 |
| -
and put NO CNN stickers on our cars |
Carolina |
Apr-19-04 07:28 PM |
#80 |
| -
Kerry spends little on advertising, stays w/in margin of error |
XanthaS |
Apr-19-04 04:37 PM |
#50 |
| -
It's a poll of "likely" voters not "registered" voters. |
MikeG |
Apr-19-04 04:45 PM |
#52 |
| -
is there anyway we can organize to influence the media? |
sugarman |
Apr-19-04 04:50 PM |
#53 |
| -
And I keep reading it... |
LynzM |
Apr-19-04 05:02 PM |
#57 |
| -
I do... |
sugarman |
Apr-19-04 05:19 PM |
#62 |
| -
And People called me an idiot |
freetobegay |
Apr-19-04 04:52 PM |
#54 |
| -
N=767 likely voters nationwide |
number6 |
Apr-19-04 04:54 PM |
#55 |
| -
Precisely... |
dubyadubya3 |
Apr-19-04 05:19 PM |
#61 |
| -
I believe that as much as I believe a Soviet Poll showing Brezhnev ahead |
tom_paine |
Apr-19-04 05:04 PM |
#58 |
| -
That is not nice to see....but...... |
Stuckinthebush |
Apr-19-04 05:12 PM |
#59 |
| -
RELAX - IT'S WITHIN THE MARGIN OF ERROR! |
Kanzeon |
Apr-19-04 05:25 PM |
#63 |
| -
We spent a decade cowering before the right-wing |
Onlooker |
Apr-19-04 05:35 PM |
#65 |
| -
The problem is that most of the Democratic cowards are still in office |
Democat |
Apr-19-04 05:40 PM |
#66 |
| -
exactly, it's Republicans |
Carolina |
Apr-19-04 07:46 PM |
#88 |
| -
I'm reading "1984" again. These poll numbers sound like |
AlinPA |
Apr-19-04 05:41 PM |
#67 |
| -
Here is why this poll makes perfect sense. |
Aquarian_Conspirator |
Apr-19-04 05:43 PM |
#68 |
| -
Kerry has still not clearly distinguished his policy from Bush |
Snellius |
Apr-19-04 06:00 PM |
#72 |
| -
If CNN keeps up these lies ....then it will EMPOWER US to STAND!!!!! |
goforit |
Apr-19-04 06:05 PM |
#73 |
| -
Republicans don't read |
Carolina |
Apr-19-04 07:12 PM |
#76 |
| -
No, the only thing incredible is the inability of DU'ers to acknowledge |
dolstein |
Apr-19-04 07:15 PM |
#77 |
| -
does N=767 mean |
bluedog |
Apr-19-04 07:16 PM |
#78 |
| -
yes it does |
0rganism |
Apr-19-04 07:36 PM |
#83 |
| -
If it's CNN it can't be true. |
devinsgram |
Apr-19-04 07:31 PM |
#81 |
| -
The poll is worthless |
Phelix_Dacat |
Apr-19-04 07:39 PM |
#84 |
| -
Not really |
TrueD |
Apr-19-04 08:05 PM |
#89 |
| -
Don't look at individual polls for an accurate picture |
darkblue |
Apr-19-04 07:40 PM |
#85 |
| -
If it's any consolation, Dick Morris says it looks bad for Bush. |
Snellius |
Apr-19-04 07:46 PM |
#87 |
| -
That doesn't make me feel better at all. |
Timefortruth |
Apr-19-04 08:14 PM |
#92 |
| -
Remember 1948 ... Give 'Em Hell Harry vs. The Polls |
Iceburg |
Apr-19-04 08:06 PM |
#90 |
| -
scroll down |
Cocoa |
Apr-19-04 08:07 PM |
#91 |
| -
George Bush: Hero of the STUPID |
jackstraw45 |
Apr-19-04 10:21 PM |
#95 |
| -
Sorry don't buy it |
are_we_united_yet |
Apr-19-04 11:56 PM |
#98 |
| -
This is why they rolled back their ad spending |
BadGimp |
Apr-20-04 12:42 AM |
#99 |
| -
I think we're in good shape... |
scottknapper |
Apr-20-04 02:24 AM |
#101 |
| -
bizzarro worLd |
sniffa |
Apr-20-04 06:34 AM |
#102 |
Printer-friendly format
Email this thread to a friend
Bookmark this thread