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Reply #18: good news, bad news and propaganda [View All]

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instantkarma Donating Member (489 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Oct-24-10 05:59 PM
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18. good news, bad news and propaganda
After going to the source, the L.A. Times...

The Brown-Whitman poll interviewed 1,501 people, a good sample size. The margin of error is 3.2 percent. Also in the poll is the question "Who do you trust more?" in which Brown also leads Whitman, 44-24 percent.

The prop 19 poll cited in the Reuters story also comes from the L.A. Times. However, the sample size is 441 "likely voters," a very small sample. The margin of error with this poll is 4.6 percent (which to me makes it pretty worthless). So according to the error margin it could be anywhere from 55.6-34.4 to 46.4-43.6. That's anywhere between a 2.8-22.2 percent difference.

Reuters doesn't mention the polls were taken at different times, taken with much different sample sizes (Reuters doesn't report those at all) and that they were reported in the L.A. Times in two separate stories. (perhaps they want to give the impression that the questions were part of the same poll)

If you want to see the original story/stories at the source, go to the L.A. Times. Brown-Whitman is on the main page and type "Prop 19" in the search box.

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