I am not so sure that your analysis is correct. It is not unheard of for an incumbent Dem prez to be challenged in the primaries. Remember when Teddy Kennedy took on Carter in 1980? Of course he lost, but it was a credible challenge. If Obama continues to move to the right I could seriously envision a progressive Dem taking him on in the primaries. It would be especially tempting for a progressive to take the plunge if it looks like that GOP might run a weak candidate such as Palin.
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