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2016 Postmortem

a kennedy

(29,642 posts)

18. I know it's Intrade, but this looks good to me....

Reply to Rosanna Lopez (Original post)

Sun Jul 1, 2012, 12:15 PM

Jul 2012

55.5% chance POTUS will be re-elected. http://www.intrade.com/v4/home/ it was 53.5 before ACA upheld. the mitster is at 41.6%

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Highlight:

Rasmussen: Romney ahead by 13 in Arizona [View all] Rosanna Lopez Jun 2012 OP

That poll is a crock of shit. eom. alittlelark Jun 2012 #1

Wasn't Romney only up by 3 in some other poll? Proud Liberal Dem Jun 2012 #2

Arizona polls to date Rosanna Lopez Jun 2012 #3

Actually one recent poll had Romney only up by 3 (last week) which is within the margin of error. WI_DEM Jun 2012 #10

As a Lawyer, what is your field of expertise? alittlelark Jun 2012 #4

Family law : ) Rosanna Lopez Jun 2012 #6

Too bad you aren't in the N.Ca. Bay Area... alittlelark Jun 2012 #9

Funny, I have yet to see a Rmoney sticker anywhere OffWithTheirHeads Jun 2012 #5

Rasmussen. blkmusclmachine Jun 2012 #7

But it's not just Rasmussen demwing Jun 2012 #8

Romney has an 87% chance of winning Rosanna Lopez Jun 2012 #11

The larger numbers are from repuke pollsters BklnDem75 Jun 2012 #14

Don't worry about them at all demwing Jul 2012 #17

Does anyone REALLY believe Obama could carry this state? fujiyama Jun 2012 #12

McCain only won it by 9 points in 2008, and only lost Hispanics by 15 points, so... CreekDog Jun 2012 #13

I found the poll showing Romney only ahead by +3 Rosanna Lopez Jun 2012 #15

PNA is a Democratic Party group Marzupialis Jul 2012 #16

I know it's Intrade, but this looks good to me.... a kennedy Jul 2012 #18

Give it time, it will look even better demwing Jul 2012 #19

It's not like it's 80% Rosanna Lopez Jul 2012 #20

Let's face facts ilikeitthatway Jul 2012 #21

Arizona not the most-right wing Rosanna Lopez Jul 2012 #22

Arizona is not as RW as people think. It is broken down into thirds. jillan Jul 2012 #25

Guess what ... we're not going to win every state. Bake Jul 2012 #23

I saw that - BUT a poll a couple of weeks ago from PPP (?) had Mitt up by 3 - so this Arizonan is jillan Jul 2012 #24

Scott Rasmussen: You are dismissed! CobaltBlue Jul 2012 #26

Correct Rosanna Lopez Jul 2012 #27

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