Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

2016 Postmortem

Showing Original Post only (View all)
106 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
WOWZA! ! DCBob Jul 2015 #1
The primaries and general are largely a referendum on BHO as HRC is implicitly running... DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2015 #3
Shhhh....that Obama's poll numbers are also solid over time and now soaring also must not be spoken too loudly. Fred Sanders Jul 2015 #15
I really like the president and am going to miss him./nt DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2015 #16
Fuck, he has 18 more months to fuck up the Republican fascist agenda real good, my focus is Fred Sanders Jul 2015 #24
Do we dispatch of the wounded or try to rehabilitate them?/nt DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2015 #25
The killed we pretend to honor, just to annoy them some more, the wounded we confine to quarters. Fred Sanders Jul 2015 #26
There should be voluntary re-education camps. That will ease their paranoia./nt DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2015 #27
We already have that. They are called Churches...so maybe just change the curriculum? Fred Sanders Jul 2015 #29
Give 'em the Rush Limbaugh treatment...in reverse. AnnetteJacobs Jul 2015 #40
These modern day "conservatives" and their dinosaur ideology does belong in a museum....with actual dinosaurs. Fred Sanders Jul 2015 #45
... DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2015 #77
I am too. But I am so excited about a President (Hillary) Clinton! MoonRiver Jul 2015 #78
'In Obama I Trust'! Millions of lives better. Love always wins! We're smiling: freshwest Jul 2015 #106
I hadn't thought of it that way at all! But she has promised to build and expand on his work. Still freshwest Jul 2015 #105
Looking good. Go Hillary. DanTex Jul 2015 #2
But what about Trump? 6chars Jul 2015 #4
Trump will drop out before he has to reveal his finances. onehandle Jul 2015 #5
i predict he seriously embarrasses himself at least once before then 6chars Jul 2015 #6
Maybe he will go independent Rosa Luxemburg Jul 2015 #73
I think he will. MoonRiver Jul 2015 #80
34% would vote for Trump...makes me weep for one third of Americans. Fred Sanders Jul 2015 #14
Probably the same group that voted for Sarah Palin Rosa Luxemburg Jul 2015 #72
What's really troubling and downright offensive is that Bush gets 41%. WTF? Who the KingCharlemagne Jul 2015 #7
Party loyalty being what it is, sir, David Sweat could run for pres with a (R) after his name... DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2015 #8
Yeah, I guess you're right. But I still find the 41% figure deeply offensive. - nt KingCharlemagne Jul 2015 #10
Hillary 57% with the Democrats! OKNancy Jul 2015 #9
Big showing for Biden, should he enter the race will significantly change. Agschmid Jul 2015 #21
Sanders has still not punched through Biden's support (which continues to rise). OilemFirchen Jul 2015 #22
72% of dems think she has the best chance of winning the general Rose Siding Jul 2015 #75
Hillary's Campaign Manager:“A lot of the public polling is not very reliable" antigop Jul 2015 #11
"Any port in a storm..." /nt DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2015 #13
So is this an "unreliable" poll? nt antigop Jul 2015 #17
You would have to ask Mr. Mook./nt DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2015 #19
so we don't know whether it's a reliable poll or not, do we? nt antigop Jul 2015 #28
One way to decrease the margin of error scientifically is to do an averaging of all the recent polls...which are near identical. Fred Sanders Jul 2015 #30
Would you be happier if our presumptive nominee was trailing their presumptive nominees... DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2015 #34
I just asked a simple question. Is it a "reliable" poll or not? nt antigop Jul 2015 #38
IMHO, CNN is a reliable news source./nt DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2015 #44
so we don't know if this is one of the "unreliable" polls Hillary's campaign manager was talking antigop Jul 2015 #47
We know that Hillary is doing well in veritable potpourri of polls, except the FOX one. DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2015 #52
and we don't know whether "potpourri of polls" are reliable or not. nt antigop Jul 2015 #59
I don't believe it's logical to assume all or most of the available public polling is wrong./nt DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2015 #67
Mook said "A lot of the public polling is not very reliable." nt antigop Jul 2015 #70
One of the ways to judge their reliabilty okasha Jul 2015 #88
I think Mook does not want anyone to get too comfortable--and that riversedge Jul 2015 #66
hey guys, I gotta go to my day job. I'm not paid to sit around and post on DU all day. nt antigop Jul 2015 #96
FFS.... Adrahil Jul 2015 #54
it's a simple question: is it reliable or not? We don't know. nt antigop Jul 2015 #58
Dear jeebus... you're like a climate denier. Adrahil Jul 2015 #62
we have a saying in the computer industry...GIGO. antigop Jul 2015 #82
That's why past history matters. Adrahil Jul 2015 #90
Whst's your position on unicorns? okasha Jul 2015 #89
And I said that if you look at the aggregate of the data... Adrahil Jul 2015 #51
not if the other polls are unreliable. We don't know which are reliable and which aren't. antigop Jul 2015 #61
Yes, they could ALL be wrong... Adrahil Jul 2015 #63
we don't know how many are wrong and how many aren't. nt antigop Jul 2015 #65
The Law Of Large Numbers suggests if you aggregate all the polls, "good" and "bad" you should ... DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2015 #76
no, "a lot" of them are not very reliable, according to Mook. antigop Jul 2015 #81
For all of the young man's talents he lacks the ability to repeal The Law Of Large Numbers./nt DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2015 #83
GIGO still applies. You aggregate garbage, you get garbage. nt antigop Jul 2015 #84
Has it occurred to you that leftynyc Jul 2015 #85
has it occured to you that maybe Mook is right? nt antigop Jul 2015 #94
That ALL polls are bad? leftynyc Jul 2015 #98
No, as the size of the sample increases the result becomes more robust. It's a scientific principle. DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2015 #86
Given their past success, what's your basis for assuming garbage in? nt Adrahil Jul 2015 #92
Which is why past performance matters. Adrahil Jul 2015 #91
No you can't rely on a "lot" of them, per Mook...so I can't rely on a "lot" of them. antigop Jul 2015 #93
Did the young man repeal statistical sampling? DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2015 #99
We don't pay mooks. OilemFirchen Jul 2015 #101
She's right, but a lot of it is. Adrahil Jul 2015 #31
so we don't know whether it's a reliable poll or not. Thank you. nt antigop Jul 2015 #33
That's not what I said. Adrahil Jul 2015 #35
but we don't know for sure. Thank you. nt antigop Jul 2015 #36
Don't know what for sure?/nt DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2015 #41
What the hell does that mean? Adrahil Jul 2015 #48
I think you should keep your head in the leftynyc Jul 2015 #87
In the NBC poll without JB it was HRC 75%-BS 15% DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2015 #39
Agreed, though I think Bernie will top 20% nationally by the Fall. Adrahil Jul 2015 #49
I am an empiricist so whom I support is really of no moment. DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2015 #53
I think you're likely right. Adrahil Jul 2015 #56
I did post grad work in Poli Sci so I love to look at data... DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2015 #64
Eight more years in the WH and the failure of the Koch Brothers, Maria law, and Fox - stay focused and united people. Fred Sanders Jul 2015 #12
I find support for Jeb Bush disturbing..it should be close to zero. He is no different than Jefferson23 Jul 2015 #18
Wow! Agschmid Jul 2015 #20
kick to find later. n/t hootinholler Jul 2015 #23
Interesting Poll Adrahil Jul 2015 #32
Good numbers. JaneyVee Jul 2015 #37
Why is Biden on the Democratic candidate list? blackspade Jul 2015 #42
CNN looking to generate news? DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2015 #43
Maybe, but it undermines the whole poll. blackspade Jul 2015 #46
Those are good questions DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2015 #55
Because he hasn't said he won't run, I guess. Adrahil Jul 2015 #50
I love Joe but it's probably too late, especially after he told his contributors they were ... DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2015 #57
Again, I agree with you. Adrahil Jul 2015 #60
I love Joe...BHO, JB, and HRC are my three favorite politicians./nt DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2015 #71
Good numbers. hrmjustin Jul 2015 #68
Why doesn't the GOP want Hillary in the general election? Because her numbers are too high Thinkingabout Jul 2015 #69
How sweet it is! ismnotwasm Jul 2015 #74
If the primary goal is to keep the WH "blue".. DCBob Jul 2015 #79
Sweet. sheshe2 Jul 2015 #95
WE NEED A BETTER CANDIDATE!!1 Metric System Jul 2015 #97
B-but "hearts and minds!1" B-b-but BlacksforBernie has "EXPLODED" to 181 members!1one! Number23 Jul 2015 #100
KICK! Cha Jul 2015 #102
Great numbers! lunamagica Jul 2015 #103
K and R McCamy Taylor Jul 2015 #104
Latest Discussions»Retired Forums»2016 Postmortem»CNN-0RC Poll Clinton 54%-...»Reply #0