The Republicans Are in Big Trouble: Mid-term elections prediction for 2014

[totodeinhere]

46. Nate Silver does not agree with your Senate predictions.

For what it's worth he is predicting that the Republicans will pick up 4.6 seats in 2014. Of course that would not be enough to take control but it would get them close and it's a much different scenario from what you are predicting. For instance you list Tim Scott as vulnerable yet Nate has him with a 95% chance of retaining his seat. He has Collins with a 75% chance and McConnell with a 90% chance. So based upon Nate's stellar record of making predictions like this I think that your predictions are way off base and perhaps just wishful thinking.

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/02/20/can-republicans-win-the-senate-in-2014/

Nate has not made a recent prediction about the House. Right after the November election he predicted that the GOP would retain control. However Larry Sabato predicts a net pickup of one House seat for the Democrats in 2014, far short of what they will need for control.

http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/midterm-forecast-democrats-may-gain-house-seats-in-2014-but-majority-probably-out-of-reach/

I am aware that Sabato has been accused of a conservative bias but his past predictions have also been very accurate.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Larry_Sabato