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2016 Postmortem
In reply to the discussion: Are We All Clear, Now? Does Everybody Understand? [View all]neverforget
(9,436 posts)39. Our base turned out it was the Independents that fucked it for us all.
http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/2010-midterms-political-price-economic-pain/story?id=12041739#.UN85T3fNmSp
Women voted 49-48 percent for Democratic vs. Republican House candidate -- the best for Republicans among women in national House vote in exit polls since 1982. Obama won women by 13 points in 2008.
Democrats and Republicans were at parity in self-identification nationally, 36-36 percent, a return to the close division seen in years before 2008, when it broke dramatically in the Democrats' favor, 40-33 percent.
Swing-voting independents who, as usual, made the difference, favored Republicans for House by a thumping 16 points, 55-39 percent. Compare that to Obama's 8-point win among independents in 2008. It was the Republicans' biggest win among independents in exit polls dating to 1982 (by two points. The GOP won independents by 14 points in 1994, the last time they took control of the House.)
Sixty percent of whites backed Republican House candidates, the most in exit polls dating back to 1982. (In presidential rather than House vote Ronald Reagan won more whites in 1984).
Conservatives accounted for 41 percent of voters -- a high in recent exit polls exceeded, in available data, only by 43 percent in that Reagan re-election of 1984.
It also was the biggest vote for Republicans among white Catholics -- like independents, a true swing voter group. They voted 40-58 in favor of Republicans for House. In the next widest, in 1994, Republicans won white Catholics by 55-44 percent.
Women voted 49-48 percent for Democratic vs. Republican House candidate -- the best for Republicans among women in national House vote in exit polls since 1982. Obama won women by 13 points in 2008.
Democrats and Republicans were at parity in self-identification nationally, 36-36 percent, a return to the close division seen in years before 2008, when it broke dramatically in the Democrats' favor, 40-33 percent.
Swing-voting independents who, as usual, made the difference, favored Republicans for House by a thumping 16 points, 55-39 percent. Compare that to Obama's 8-point win among independents in 2008. It was the Republicans' biggest win among independents in exit polls dating to 1982 (by two points. The GOP won independents by 14 points in 1994, the last time they took control of the House.)
Sixty percent of whites backed Republican House candidates, the most in exit polls dating back to 1982. (In presidential rather than House vote Ronald Reagan won more whites in 1984).
Conservatives accounted for 41 percent of voters -- a high in recent exit polls exceeded, in available data, only by 43 percent in that Reagan re-election of 1984.
It also was the biggest vote for Republicans among white Catholics -- like independents, a true swing voter group. They voted 40-58 in favor of Republicans for House. In the next widest, in 1994, Republicans won white Catholics by 55-44 percent.
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They are reacting to what Fox News tells them, they have no idea what's going on.
Lil Missy
Dec 2012
#26
Perhaps you are right but only 7% of private sector employees are union members. Workers are not
jody
Dec 2012
#7
The California factory run by both General Motors and Toyota closed. One of the parties reopened
jody
Dec 2012
#10
No Jody this happened because the economy was slowing down and the GM Toyota plant was
kimbutgar
Dec 2012
#14
I never watch Fox and even turn my eyes away if I happen to pass a TV tuned to it.
jody
Dec 2012
#15
We are the way. We just passed prop 30 raising taxes and things are turning around.
kimbutgar
Dec 2012
#16
TDS did a great segment on how the worst legislation is called the opposite of what it is
Taverner
Dec 2012
#38
To the voters who didn't vote -- shut up and deal with the fact that you failed to show up.
Filibuster Harry
Dec 2012
#8
And unfortunately many who stayed home did it to send a lesson to the President
lunatica
Dec 2012
#22
There is that, but most of all, many youngsters just don't bother about the mid-terms...
Amonester
Dec 2012
#25
The base came out. The people that voted exclusively for Obama in 2008 did not.
MrSlayer
Dec 2012
#31