"Obama Campaign Polls: How The Internal Data Got It Right"

[DFW]

4. I met with David Simas for about half an hour in July

He was aware of just about every county in the USA, and he told me that at some time in either September or October, Romney would pull even or slightly ahead in the national polls. He said that he would be pulling his hair out, but that the rest of us shouldn't. He foresaw the win pretty much as it happened, and this was in July!! He said we wouldn't get it for free, but only with a lot of hard groundwork, since we'd never match the Republicans' budget, but he saw it coming together pretty much as it did. He was introduced as THE master number cruncher of the Obama campaign. It looks like his rep was only too well deserved.

For that matter, when Prince of Darkness Frank Luntz went on with Bill Maher, and Maher asked him straight out who would win the election, even Luntz admitted, that if he had to give a straight answer at that moment (it was maybe a month before the election), he'd have to say that Obama would be re-elected.