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2016 Postmortem

Mr.Turnip

(645 posts)

10. California isn't actually winner take all, it's Winner take all by congressional district.

Reply to musicblind (Reply #7)

Tue Mar 20, 2012, 08:35 PM

Mar 2012

He can lap up a significant amount of delegates if he can dominate in certain parts of the state more favorable to him.

May is full of states that are favorable to Santorum too.

Romney will still probably win before the convention but a contested convention is still very very possible if Santorum hasn't collapsed by May.

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CNN Illinois Exit Polls [View all] musicblind Mar 2012 OP

Especially if Romney wins by double digits. DCBob Mar 2012 #1

Nah Santo will win the LA primary in a few days and this stupidity will go ever onward. Mr.Turnip Mar 2012 #2

Depends if the media and the public stay interested... DCBob Mar 2012 #3

Idk. Mathematically, it looks like a brokered convention isn't possible now without Santorum musicblind Mar 2012 #7

California isn't actually winner take all, it's Winner take all by congressional district. Mr.Turnip Mar 2012 #10

exits have narrowed to +7 apparently. Mr.Turnip Mar 2012 #4

Problem is, Grinch and Grampy keep splitting the vote. Mittens still can't get much above 40. RBInMaine Mar 2012 #5

He would have probably won IL anyway. Mr.Turnip Mar 2012 #8

Aww buh bye pope ricky workinclasszero Mar 2012 #6

I doubt Rick will drop out Motown_Johnny Mar 2012 #9

of course he won't drop out, this wasn't a state he was ever really likely to win. Mr.Turnip Mar 2012 #11

so we agree... No Swan Song for Frothy tonight Motown_Johnny Mar 2012 #13

Cool I hope they have massive floor fights workinclasszero Mar 2012 #14

I think Santorum may drop out after he loses DC,MD and WI on April 3. DCBob Mar 2012 #18

It makes no sense for the #2 to drop out when #3 & #4 are staying in Motown_Johnny Mar 2012 #19

Santorum has more to lose by staying in than Gingrich or Paul. DCBob Mar 2012 #21

I don't know about that Motown_Johnny Mar 2012 #23

Perhaps, but there is the matter of money. DCBob Mar 2012 #24

he started without any money, he seems to wear it as a badge of honor Motown_Johnny Mar 2012 #29

I really really doubt Jeb can win a Republican primary. Mr.Turnip Mar 2012 #28

he is done as a politician Cosmocat Mar 2012 #30

I think he has a decent shot in WI. Mr.Turnip Mar 2012 #22

This win tonight, if it stays double digits, is going to give Rmoney some major momentum. DCBob Mar 2012 #25

I thought Santorum's wins last week would give him momentum. Mr.Turnip Mar 2012 #26

with 71% reporting, Romney has 48% to Santorum's 34% nickinSTL Mar 2012 #27

CNN Projects Romney wins Ill grantcart Mar 2012 #12

I heard on the tv machine that Mittens outspent Scrotorum by 21 times in some media markets aint_no_life_nowhere Mar 2012 #15

Chicago + Subrubs and it's paying off rest of the state is pretty close or leaning to Frothy. Mr.Turnip Mar 2012 #17

Santorum is crushing in some downstate counties but the turnout is pathetic there. Mr.Turnip Mar 2012 #16

Turnout for Tuesday’s Illinois primary stood at a meager 15 percent as of mid afternoon. nickinSTL Mar 2012 #20