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2016 Postmortem
In reply to the discussion: Nate Silver got one thing wrong: Ohio wasn't the tipping point state--Colorado was. [View all]TroyD
(4,551 posts)37. Some of the final polls (eg. PPP, SurveyUSA) said Obama would win by +5 in OH
Wonder what happened there?
Voter suppression?
Obama appears to only be about 2% ahead of Romney in Ohio.
By contrast, Virginia, a state which until 2008 hadn't voted Democratic since LBJ in 1964, gave Obama a 3% win over Romney, despite it being supposedly more conservative.
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Nate Silver got one thing wrong: Ohio wasn't the tipping point state--Colorado was. [View all]
geek tragedy
Nov 2012
OP
The provisionals in Ohio could tilt it further--I'd bet serious money that when they get
geek tragedy
Nov 2012
#4
Very true ... and VA will help turn NC again. Ohio and IL will turn IN again.
JoePhilly
Nov 2012
#13
I think in the future VA and NC will be more Democratic than Ohio will be.
geek tragedy
Nov 2012
#15
Same story as Virginia--African-Americans plus a growing group of college-educated whites
geek tragedy
Nov 2012
#18
I was just about to say something close to this. I wonder if Ohio is any longer a bellweather
Liberal_Stalwart71
Nov 2012
#7
That's part of it. Also the fact that they didn't catch the rise in Latino
geek tragedy
Nov 2012
#12