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2016 Postmortem

KamaAina

(78,249 posts)

10. We're breaking through in the Southwest, thanks to the Latino vote

Reply to geek tragedy (Original post)

Thu Nov 8, 2012, 03:56 PM

Nov 2012

New Mexico: Blue. Nevada: Blue. Colorado: Now Blue.

Arizona: Barry Bonds-size *. http://www.democraticunderground.com/10021759187

Utah: (sigh)

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Nate Silver got one thing wrong: Ohio wasn't the tipping point state--Colorado was. [View all] geek tragedy Nov 2012 OP

i love my state fizzgig Nov 2012 #1

I love your state, too. I was born there many Cha Nov 2012 #31

aloha fizzgig Nov 2012 #35

Aloha Cha Nov 2012 #36

Great analysis.. bama_blue_dot Nov 2012 #2

The provisionals in Ohio could tilt it further--I'd bet serious money that when they get geek tragedy Nov 2012 #4

Didn't need FL, OH, VA november3rd Nov 2012 #20

The key I think is that Obama still "won" without OH, VA, or FL = MANDATE JoePhilly Nov 2012 #3

FL, VA, and OH are beachheads or forward territories. geek tragedy Nov 2012 #6

Very true ... and VA will help turn NC again. Ohio and IL will turn IN again. JoePhilly Nov 2012 #13

I think in the future VA and NC will be more Democratic than Ohio will be. geek tragedy Nov 2012 #15

I can see that ... JoePhilly Nov 2012 #17

Same story as Virginia--African-Americans plus a growing group of college-educated whites geek tragedy Nov 2012 #18

Exactly! We don't need Florida or Ohio anymore... RosedaleGuy Nov 2012 #9

And as noted above, OH, VA, and FL wins create a big issue for the GOP. JoePhilly Nov 2012 #14

The truly scary thing for them is when Texas ends up blue... TTUBatfan2008 Nov 2012 #23

TOLD YA SO! Panasonic Nov 2012 #5

It was the Kerry states plus Iowa plus Latino-heavy states in the West. geek tragedy Nov 2012 #11

Did you? How Cool~ Cha Nov 2012 #32

I was just about to say something close to this. I wonder if Ohio is any longer a bellweather Liberal_Stalwart71 Nov 2012 #7

I think Iowa, Virginia and Colorado are good starting points. nt geek tragedy Nov 2012 #16

Gee, I wonder why OH and PA might have been closer than we thought? KamaAina Nov 2012 #8

That's part of it. Also the fact that they didn't catch the rise in Latino geek tragedy Nov 2012 #12

PA actually should have KamaAina Nov 2012 #19

Norristown november3rd Nov 2012 #21

In the past three decades, it's become a Latino stronghold KamaAina Nov 2012 #26

We're breaking through in the Southwest, thanks to the Latino vote KamaAina Nov 2012 #10

Nevada put him over the top timewise. By that point, Ohio AND Florida AND kestrel91316 Nov 2012 #22

Nate Silver's analysis geek tragedy Nov 2012 #24

damn awesome outsideworld Nov 2012 #25

#3 the one that got away davidpdx Nov 2012 #27

I think Obama actually won Ohio by 4-6 points AJH032 Nov 2012 #28

ol rove sure thought mitt had it. Cha Nov 2012 #33

The Great Republican State of Denial K-Matt Nov 2012 #29

How does one put SOS Husted from OH into a model? LisaL Nov 2012 #30

the Election ended quick! cheezmaka Nov 2012 #34

Some of the final polls (eg. PPP, SurveyUSA) said Obama would win by +5 in OH TroyD Nov 2012 #37