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Response to ProfessionalLeftist (Reply #3)

Sun Nov 4, 2012, 04:46 PM

18. There

 

are still more Democrats that have not voted than Republicans on Tuesday. Republicans are banking on unaffiliated and Democrats to make up that deficit. I don't know about the 65 percent Messina quoted but Romney does need over 55 percent to win of the remaining votes left. The bottom line, it is an uphill climb for Romney on Tuesday. When I look at just Durham county, every Presidential election, this county has a high turnout rate and Democrats out number Republicans 3-1. In the early voting statistics, most of those voters have not voted yet. These are likely voters too, because they vote every election. Many of the voters Obama has banked in early voting are sporadic voters and new voters which don't show up in Polls. The Obama campaign want say it, but North Carolina looks pretty good and might be the biggest surprise on Tuesday because everybody in the media has it as a safe bet for Romney. I think the Obama campaign is sand bagging on what is really going on in North Carolina.

Even the pundits have failed to mention, Clinton's visit to North Carolina or Michelle's visit on Monday. They keep talking about Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, Minnesota and Colorado, but the real story maybe here in North Carolina.

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