but Idaho is a maybe. last OH poll I saw had Santo near 50 there, that would be hard to over come for Romney.
his only chance in the southern states is massive vote splitting between Santo and Newt.
And MI is still an if, the number of undecideds has gotten low there, Romney has to hope that his debate was good enough to peel off a bit of support from Santorum, or maybe that Gingrich's was good enough to do the same.
And Santorum has consistently outdone his poll numbers, in some states like SC and CO he did so by 7 and 10 points respectively same with MN.
Paul tends to get a bit higher than his poll numbers too, while Romney and Gingrich seem to get lower.
o and while it's not for nearly 2 months Santorum is + 30 in PA right now.