2016 Postmortem

Maximumnegro

(1,134 posts)

33. No. Their entire model has been criticized

Thu Oct 18, 2012, 01:19 PM

Oct 2012

so why validate? Obama's pollsters have already come out against their LV model, citing their RV as historically being the more accurate predictor. Others have shown their LV to be wacked as well. Even if you look at the breakdown, Obama only +4 in the East? Riiiight. and +22 in the South would mean more then just running up red states, it would mean Florida completely red, NC, and VA gone. Not ied. Blood red. Look there is just no amount of 7 day rolling etc that remotely explains how implausible their poll is.

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Gallup (Thursday): Obama job rating 50/44 Plus 2 in three day average [View all] WI_DEM Oct 2012 OP

OMG woolldog Oct 2012 #1

remember that job numbers are 3-days which could mean the last 3-days WI_DEM Oct 2012 #9

.... woolldog Oct 2012 #27

You do that a lot. Why? Maximumnegro Oct 2012 #20

Why Do You Think? DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #39

lol woolldog Oct 2012 #42

Coming From The Innumerate I Will Take That As A Compliment DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #49

I focus exclusively on Gallup? woolldog Oct 2012 #60

Look at this quiz Maximumnegro Oct 2012 #53

If You Change The A To An O Does The Pollster Have The Same Name As What A Horse Does? DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #55

You would think they would teabaggersarestupid Oct 2012 #56

okay good points. woolldog Oct 2012 #69

I'm Disappointed I Have To Waste Time Debunking Them And It Makes A Great Right Wing Talking Point. DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #76

Carl Rove teabaggersarestupid Oct 2012 #78

Because they've got no chin Floyd_Gondolli Oct 2012 #63

And Obama is down by 7 with a 50% approval rating LMFAO! JRLeft Oct 2012 #2

Gallup Poll--10/26/00 -Bush*- 52% -Gore-39% DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #3

Do you have a link? teabaggersarestupid Oct 2012 #21

Here DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #25

And the popular vote teabaggersarestupid Oct 2012 #37

"If I Didn't Have The Numbers" To Quote Karl Rove People Would Think I Am Making This Stuff Up DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #45

Gore wasn't an incumbent. woolldog Oct 2012 #46

No teabaggersarestupid Oct 2012 #51

you're right woolldog Oct 2012 #64

The other polls teabaggersarestupid Oct 2012 #71

According To Your Favorite Pollster, Truman Was DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #52

Gore won the popular vote yet Gallup showed an 11 point lead for Bush on this day in 2000 mzmolly Oct 2012 #62

That was only a 3 day sample woolldog Oct 2012 #66

With the main result being S_E_Fudd Oct 2012 #73

Let's look at seven days, then. mzmolly Oct 2012 #74

Well, how do we know that Gore wasn't down 11 points on Oct 20? woolldog Oct 2012 #80

What we do know is that Gallup was an outlier then - and now. mzmolly Oct 2012 #82

yea right woolldog Oct 2012 #87

It's not a matter of falling in line, it's a matter of acknowledging the fact that mzmolly Oct 2012 #91

Might want to check this out: mzmolly Oct 2012 #92

looking at what you linked the polls gabeana Oct 2012 #44

If You Would Have Looked At State By State Polls In 00 You Would Have Seen A Much Closer Race DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #57

Do the state polls teabaggersarestupid Oct 2012 #61

They Look Much Better This Year DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #81

Yeah I know teabaggersarestupid Oct 2012 #84

No Problem DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #88

Approval bump an early indicator? S_E_Fudd Oct 2012 #4

Thank you! You're the only one who seems to grasp that. WI_DEM Oct 2012 #14

I'm Not Even Going To Try To Decipher It Because It's Crap,Ergo: DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #19

Thanks for the link teabaggersarestupid Oct 2012 #24

Again The Poll Is Crap DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #32

So Romney is up +7 today? TroyD Oct 2012 #5

I don't know how many times I have to emphasize this WI_DEM Oct 2012 #12

Well Robbins Oct 2012 #26

Yeah but teabaggersarestupid Oct 2012 #29

Obama improved on his job performance # and with registered voters... S_E_Fudd Oct 2012 #47

Welcome to DU, teabaggersarestupid! calimary Oct 2012 #68

Thanks calimary teabaggersarestupid Oct 2012 #79

I think I'm gonna be sick. calimary Oct 2012 #67

DAMN mgcgulfcoast Oct 2012 #6

Looks like it has Shivering Jemmy Oct 2012 #16

Obama campaign has slammed Gallup's Maximumnegro Oct 2012 #23

Pop quiz Maximumnegro Oct 2012 #54

good points mgcgulfcoast Oct 2012 #85

This makes no sense Robbins Oct 2012 #7

Both samples have different time windows Mass Oct 2012 #13

Right. WI_DEM Oct 2012 #15

Ita pretty obvious that BraKez2 Oct 2012 #35

No. Their entire model has been criticized Maximumnegro Oct 2012 #33

Any cross-tabs posted on that? M_Demo_M Oct 2012 #8

They're just embarrassing themselves now. N/T fugop Oct 2012 #10

Their 7 day tracker has lost all credibility at this point n/t Blaukraut Oct 2012 #11

Does Gallup have a Report out TroyD Oct 2012 #17

LOL if Romney were +7 the map Maximumnegro Oct 2012 #18

If You Assign The Undecideds Obama Is On His Way To The Worst Loss Since 1984. DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #22

The Problem with The Gallup Poll: TroyD Oct 2012 #28

OH+NV = Obama win so who cares Maximumnegro Oct 2012 #40

But will those voters vote for Obama helpisontheway Oct 2012 #48

That's pretty paranoid thinking teabaggersarestupid Oct 2012 #75

I'm worried because the media is constantly portraying Romney as the WINNER helpisontheway Oct 2012 #94

Hahahaha. Bullshit budkin Oct 2012 #30

The journalists I'm following on Twitter are all making snarky comments about Gallup octoberlib Oct 2012 #31

Lol mvd Oct 2012 #38

How the hell is Romney at 52%? tarheelsunc Oct 2012 #34

See this thread... courseofhistory Oct 2012 #36

Gallup STAYS jumping the shark don't they? LenaBaby61 Oct 2012 #41

I feel ill... helpisontheway Oct 2012 #43

Gallup is but one poll of many these days. Jennicut Oct 2012 #58

Perhaps Gallup needs to work on that likely voter questionairre. Jennicut Oct 2012 #50

I wish we could stop obsessing over polls and just wait until the only poll totodeinhere Oct 2012 #59

I agree Blueprogress Oct 2012 #65

They approve of the job he's doing, but want the other guy. Riiiiiggght. TwilightGardener Oct 2012 #70

Outlier TexasCPA Oct 2012 #72

Rove loves to talk a lot of BS TexasCPA Oct 2012 #77

I think the numbers will change when some bad polling days from last week are eliminated and... Geedorah Oct 2012 #83

More gallup B.S. teabaggersarestupid Oct 2012 #86

Can you link that politico poll showing Obama up 1? woolldog Oct 2012 #89

Here it is teabaggersarestupid Oct 2012 #95

I still think that President Obama will win both the popular vote and the Electoral totodeinhere Oct 2012 #90

No offense to OP, but this is clearly a B.S. poll that oversampled the South. CheapShotArtist Oct 2012 #93