HomeLatest ThreadsGreatest ThreadsForums & GroupsMy SubscriptionsMy Posts
DU Home » Latest Threads » Forums & Groups » Main » Politics 2014 (Forum) » Romney's debate bounce is... » Reply #21
In the discussion thread: Romney's debate bounce is bullshit. [View all]

Response to Cosmocat (Reply #20)

Sat Oct 13, 2012, 07:45 AM

21. Yes but whose numbers

 

is the question. For example, here are Nate Silver's numbers, from the link above:



Notice that several bigger polls show Obama ahead on Friday: Gallup, with Obama +2.0 nationally, for example, and that a lot of the Romney-ahead polls are less reputable pollsters, selected by individual state: High Point U. for example, showing Romney gaining nearly 13 points in SC. Then the numbers are further massaged by calculating for "net change," producing a pleasing palate of red, pleasing to Nate and his NYT bosses, that is. Then there's the special massaging that went into these particular polls, with "likely voters," as selected by the pollsters, getting special preference. Massage, massage, massage, and voila, a dramatic new "trendline"! Pure number magic!

Or let's just call it what it is, creative accounting of the kind that send Arthur Anderson and their famous client down the toilet.

Reply to this post

Back to OP Alert abuse Link to post in-thread

Always highlight: 10 newest replies | Replies posted after I mark a forum
Replies to this discussion thread
Arrow 43 replies Author Time Post
ProSense Oct 2012 OP
Blue Owl Oct 2012 #1
neverland_pirate Oct 2012 #2
ProSense Oct 2012 #7
Shivering Jemmy Oct 2012 #31
jillan Oct 2012 #3
neverland_pirate Oct 2012 #5
ProSense Oct 2012 #8
Tarheel_Dem Oct 2012 #10
MFM008 Oct 2012 #4
bushisanidiot Oct 2012 #6
Floyd_Gondolli Oct 2012 #9
HooptieWagon Oct 2012 #30
Cha Oct 2012 #11
powergirl Oct 2012 #12
Maeve Oct 2012 #13
allrevvedup Oct 2012 #14
ProSense Oct 2012 #15
allrevvedup Oct 2012 #24
zbdent Oct 2012 #16
Jennicut Oct 2012 #17
speedoo Oct 2012 #18
Cosmocat Oct 2012 #20
LineLineLineReply Yes but whose numbers
allrevvedup Oct 2012 #21
Cosmocat Oct 2012 #25
ProSense Oct 2012 #33
Cosmocat Oct 2012 #38
ProSense Oct 2012 #40
Cosmocat Oct 2012 #19
allrevvedup Oct 2012 #22
Cosmocat Oct 2012 #26
allrevvedup Oct 2012 #43
creon Oct 2012 #23
Cosmocat Oct 2012 #27
creon Oct 2012 #37
FBaggins Oct 2012 #28
ProSense Oct 2012 #32
TroyD Oct 2012 #35
ProSense Oct 2012 #36
ywcachieve Oct 2012 #29
TroyD Oct 2012 #34
DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #39
ProSense Oct 2012 #41
DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #42
Please login to view edit histories.