Reply #58

In the discussion thread: Nate Silver: Romney bounce not receding and making gains in swing states [View all]

Fri Oct 12, 2012, 04:54 PM

TroyD (4,468 posts)

58. I agree with you

I've been cautioning against overconfidence all week, but some people like posting threads chuckling away at how Romney is on the way down to a major crash and that Obama will rope a dope him etc.

The first debate is usually the most watched. And the second is going to be the townhall which may not provide the opportunity for a direct confrontation rematch that many people want.

Obama needs to do well there, but he also needs to win the foreign policy debate and make that his strength again and not concede anything there to Romney.

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80 replies	Author	Time	Post
Nate Silver: Romney bounce not receding and making gains in swing states [View all]	budkin	Oct 2012	OP
Complete bullshit! It won't last...	cheriemedium59	Oct 2012	#1
Obama has to do his part now. He has to win the next 2 debates.	TroyD	Oct 2012	#2
Romney had the WEEK of his life	fugop	Oct 2012	#10
Unfortunately, the media has its marching orders	qanda	Oct 2012	#3
Yep it's going to be all about getting out the vote	fugop	Oct 2012	#6
the media did not speak for obama during his debate "experience" nt	msongs	Oct 2012	#43
It wasn't that bad	qanda	Oct 2012	#68
Pre-debate article by Nate.... we'll see what the weekend brings	scheming daemons	Oct 2012	#4
Did he write this before the debate?	Arkana	Oct 2012	#7
he hasnt updated for October 12 yet.	MFM008	Oct 2012	#18
I agree, women are not going to take the republican war against them lightly. Ryan made it very	still_one	Oct 2012	#14
Not going to react	JustAnotherGen	Oct 2012	#5
If it doesn't, it means one of three things, people don't really care about the supreme court, women	still_one	Oct 2012	#8
hahahaha.... okeedokee smoky	fascisthunter	Oct 2012	#9
Gawd, we really need another bombshell like the 47% tape to break through to all the	Laurian	Oct 2012	#11
But would the media give a shit?	Floyd_Gondolli	Oct 2012	#15
I'm starting to think that its not just the debates	maryellen99	Oct 2012	#20
Lots of people don't watch the debates, they just listen to the analysis. That's why	Laurian	Oct 2012	#38
Nate Silver is not Miss Cleo	Blaukraut	Oct 2012	#12
It is past that point	Cosmocat	Oct 2012	#28
Obama didn't fight back	TroyD	Oct 2012	#13
Yes he will. Things will start to change by Monday in our favor. The issues have never been	still_one	Oct 2012	#19
the issues have been clear for a long time now. accept that some people don't care about them	JI7	Oct 2012	#22
Many people are not critical thinkers. The double talk from the republicans has confused those	still_one	Oct 2012	#44
'What The President did was a disaster'	TroyD	Oct 2012	#50
We agree. I believe the lesson has been learned the hard way. I also believe Hillary or Biden	still_one	Oct 2012	#71
oh please, the whores are not giving Biden the Credit they did Romney	JI7	Oct 2012	#21
CNN called it a Tie	TroyD	Oct 2012	#29
just a 1.1% margin of victory now	mgcgulfcoast	Oct 2012	#16
I never thought 7.8 would move polls	VirginiaTarheel	Oct 2012	#27
'just a 1.1% margin of victory now'	TroyD	Oct 2012	#33
The jobs report	VirginiaTarheel	Oct 2012	#36
nates nov 6 projection	mgcgulfcoast	Oct 2012	#39
Do you mean the Popular Vote?	TroyD	Oct 2012	#42
popular vote	mgcgulfcoast	Oct 2012	#46
We Really need to focus on the Ground Game, the Media has been very Negatve Towards Obama	JI7	Oct 2012	#17
The numbers in that poll were from Wed...the day of the debate...	Tippy	Oct 2012	#23
Then his ass should put his numbers at 50/50 and be done with it	Cali_Democrat	Oct 2012	#24
Here:	Dawson Leery	Oct 2012	#25
Thanks, yes	TroyD	Oct 2012	#41
I'm sorry but silver referring to the mason Dixon polling as reliable is wrong. They are always	still_one	Oct 2012	#26
Fool me once, shame on Nate but fool me twice and shame on y'all who believe him :)	aletier_v	Oct 2012	#30
'How do we know Nate isn't a republican?'	TroyD	Oct 2012	#40
What the hell kind of guy puts out a model that gives Obama a 98% chance of winning	Cali_Democrat	Oct 2012	#45
You haven't been following the model properly	TroyD	Oct 2012	#53
I understand the concept of the now cast	Cali_Democrat	Oct 2012	#65
Nate started off in '08 on Daily Kos, about the least republican site (next to DU) on the web	fujiyama	Oct 2012	#74
i;ve been trying to tell you all	blueknight	Oct 2012	#31
I said the same thing	TroyD	Oct 2012	#35
^^^ Truth	oswaldactedalone	Oct 2012	#51
LOL Onoz thread. Here's an idea	Maximumnegro	Oct 2012	#62
Silver is no guru he looks at the same polls we do and tends to	WI_DEM	Oct 2012	#32
It's stabilizing on Intrade. Don't worry, It is what it is... will be a big win.	JackN415	Oct 2012	#34
I feel polls are pretty much a lot of BS!	watercolors	Oct 2012	#37
that's what happens when the troops get demoralized	graham4anything	Oct 2012	#47
Could you translate that into English please?	TroyD	Oct 2012	#54
demoralization is a tool of the enemy. Think positive not negative. Negativity kills hope and all	graham4anything	Oct 2012	#61
Stop being a whiny doom gloom	Maximumnegro	Oct 2012	#63
Nate's numbers are flawed because of Gravis Marketing.	speedoo	Oct 2012	#48
We have to stop making excuses	TroyD	Oct 2012	#56
I think Obama just cost us the	helpisontheway	Oct 2012	#49
What the flying f*ck are going on about?	Maximumnegro	Oct 2012	#67
Please go out and read the Rand poll...	cheriemedium59	Oct 2012	#52
And what about the Rand poll?	TroyD	Oct 2012	#57
First impressions are the most important	Azathoth	Oct 2012	#55
I agree with you	TroyD	Oct 2012	#58
I'll admit I'm not feeling too good	raven42	Oct 2012	#59
We should stay positive	TroyD	Oct 2012	#60
We would be more positive if you stopped posting!nt	Maximumnegro	Oct 2012	#64
Malarkey!	TroyD	Oct 2012	#66
You even write like Mitt Romney	Maximumnegro	Oct 2012	#69
I woke up this morning called my sister and said	bkkyosemite	Oct 2012	#70
Has Nate been writing those wingnut e-mails	allrevvedup	Oct 2012	#72
Nate Silver has taken not only to using Gravis, a very disreputable polling firm with joke	magical thyme	Oct 2012	#73
THIS.	theinquisitivechad	Oct 2012	#75
Where did you find that headline?	mzmolly	Oct 2012	#76
It is what it is.	RandySF	Oct 2012	#77
The debate was only 24 hours ago. New polls will be out Monday and Romney's bounce will be GONE! nt	Tx4obama	Oct 2012	#78
hopefully better next week	zach1845	Oct 2012	#79
We're getting killed, deal with it.	Loge23	Oct 2012	#80

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