2016 Postmortem

Mutiny In Heaven

(550 posts)

11. Maybe they just can't figure out the LV model

Fri Oct 12, 2012, 02:34 PM

Oct 2012

Last edited Fri Oct 12, 2012, 03:28 PM - Edit history (1)

And I mean that seriously. How many times has a candidate been up so consistently with RV, but fallen badly enough that it could change the outcome with ' likelys'?

I dare say that knowing your vote could be that much more important than usual could completely throw the models come election day, especially given amount of young voters whose absence is assumed.

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A Poll Is A Poll -IBD/TIPP Obama (D) 46% Romney ($) 46% -That's A Five Point Move For O In 3 Days [View all] DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 OP

I'm kind of speechless. fugop Oct 2012 #1

Beside Pew All These Polls Are Bumping Around The MOE And Even Pew Was Barely Outside It DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #6

Two things the callers are jerking around the pollsters, or the clueless people really do not know still_one Oct 2012 #7

Actually most of the polls were pretty consistent up to the first debate WI_DEM Oct 2012 #10

Maybe they just can't figure out the LV model Mutiny In Heaven Oct 2012 #11

Pollsters think that LV are white women in their 50s, with a comfortable income, and conservatives. progressivebydesign Oct 2012 #20

Yep. Mutiny In Heaven Oct 2012 #49

Actually Obama is up by .7 percent VirginiaTarheel Oct 2012 #2

Noticed But Statisticians Suggest Rounding Because A Poll Can Never Achieve That Level Of Accuracy DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #4

Rounding can introduce its own issues. FBaggins Oct 2012 #16

'Actually Obama is up by .7 percent' TroyD Oct 2012 #17

It Was 49% -44% On Tuesday DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #22

No. Two days ago in this poll Romney was ahead by 5. fugop Oct 2012 #23

I'd say that Romney's bounce just turned into an Obama bounce bushisanidiot Oct 2012 #3

I think they got the 2008 gap correct down to the tenth of a percent. FBaggins Oct 2012 #5

I believe they started the day of debate fearnobush Oct 2012 #12

If Republicans Continue To Lose The Non White Vote 80%-20% In Nat'l Elections DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #25

The only region Romney leads in is the South WI_DEM Oct 2012 #8

Nate Silver: Oct. 11 - Obama's Swing State 'Firewall' Has Brittle Foundation TroyD Oct 2012 #14

Yep ... fugop Oct 2012 #18

Certainly hope we see a rise in the National polls - Nate Silver just called Obama's numbers 'awful' TroyD Oct 2012 #9

Eh ... fugop Oct 2012 #15

Nate and the rest of us need to take it easy and see where we are WI_DEM Oct 2012 #19

Consistently bringing DU down whenever there is good news. writes3000 Oct 2012 #26

Good Catch DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #28

Yep...nt Maximumnegro Oct 2012 #41

That Clown Isn't Fooling Anybody DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #43

Why do you keep posting what Nate says? Drunken Irishman Oct 2012 #29

Because he's one of the best in the business. FBaggins Oct 2012 #32

I Was In The Reality Camp In 04 And 010 When Reality Wasn't Kind To Us DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #36

Why is he the best in the business? Drunken Irishman Oct 2012 #42

Troy has been worrying, worrying, worrying...nt Maximumnegro Oct 2012 #40

He's Worried Romney Might Lose DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #45

I Have My Own Poll DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #34

LOL Maximumnegro Oct 2012 #47

Welcome To DU DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #48

I can read latest polls just like Nate Silver VirginiaTarheel Oct 2012 #13

Well Now Doctor Jack Oct 2012 #21

'Romney held on to his edge among the key independent voting bloc, with a 19-point advantage.' TroyD Oct 2012 #24

I think it was the independents that were drawn to him after the debate... but they'll come back budkin Oct 2012 #27

Because a majority of independents are just embarrassed Republicans. n/t fugop Oct 2012 #31

Many Pukes Are Now Calling Themselves Independents DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #39

As An "Independent" For Romney Can You Please Share With Us What Attracted You To Him? DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #38

I also don't think that Obama is leading by only 4 among Jewish voters. WI_DEM Oct 2012 #30

What time does ipsos post? Shivering Jemmy Oct 2012 #33

This poll is completely unreliable. ProSense Oct 2012 #35

No need to look a gift poll in the mouth. FBaggins Oct 2012 #37

Rass,Gallup, And TIPP Are All Well Within The Margin Of Error DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #46

If Obama does well in the next two debates, we've got this. tarheelsunc Oct 2012 #44