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Response to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Sun Oct 7, 2012, 02:39 AM

20. according to the census bureau blacks make up 4.3% of the Colorado population

and lets assume they are no more or less likely than anyone else to vote so they make up 4.3% of the electorate as well. He is losing 40 to 58 according to that sample among Colorado blacks. That translates to 1.72% to 2.49% or a -.77%. Assuming that he really wins 90 to 10. That would be 3.87% to 0.43% which is + 3.44 or a total difference of 4.21% in margin. Instead of leading by 3.5% as Romney is in this poll he should be losing by 0.71% which is not exactly a major difference given the MOE.

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DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 OP
Jennicut Oct 2012 #1
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fugop Oct 2012 #3
DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #6
Drunken Irishman Oct 2012 #7
DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #9
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titaniumsalute Oct 2012 #15
DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #19
anneboleyn Oct 2012 #18
Doctor Jack Oct 2012 #4
DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #5
Doctor Jack Oct 2012 #8
BlancheSplanchnik Oct 2012 #10
DavidDvorkin Oct 2012 #12
geek tragedy Oct 2012 #13
TroyD Oct 2012 #14
ProSense Oct 2012 #17
mzmolly Oct 2012 #16
LineNew Reply according to the census bureau blacks make up 4.3% of the Colorado population
dsc Oct 2012 #20
TroyD Oct 2012 #21
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