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2016 Postmortem

Drunken Irishman

(34,857 posts)

3. The best part: Obama leads 52-41 among swing state voters...

Reply to hrmjustin (Original post)

Mon Oct 1, 2012, 12:54 AM

Oct 2012

I don't quite understand the dynamics of this poll. I can only guess that Obama is doing remarkably bad in deep red states in the South to only lead by two nationally but hold significant leads in swing states.

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New Washington post-Abcnews poll shows Obama 49%-Romney 47% [View all] hrmjustin Oct 2012 OP

Actually better than the last poll from the same pollster which was Obama + 1 earlier this month. Mr.Turnip Oct 2012 #1

poll makes no sense mgcgulfcoast Oct 2012 #16

The media will latch on to this poll like mad and run the narrative Romney is back in this... Drunken Irishman Oct 2012 #2

Honestly, I'd be stunned if I don't see at least a couple of your headlines in the next few days... Rowdyboy Oct 2012 #4

It is the campaigns that buy advertisements. former9thward Oct 2012 #23

I think the idea is that the MSM pushes that it's close to get more hits/viewers. ChimpersMcSmirkers Oct 2012 #30

Spot on! DeeDeeNY Oct 2012 #18

The best part: Obama leads 52-41 among swing state voters... Drunken Irishman Oct 2012 #3

ditto...if Ohio mirrors overall country, R-money is down by 6% or more Tribetime Oct 2012 #5

A lot of racist red staters will make the overall popular vote percentage close ProudToBeBlueInRhody Oct 2012 #8

Southern white working class: 40 point margin for Romney. So yes, Obama is doing bad in deep red progree Oct 2012 #14

THIS is the demographic most dependent on the government! TroyD Oct 2012 #15

Not sure that's true. The red states have large non-white populations progree Oct 2012 #21

Seriously. The biggest group of welfare recipients are white people in the South. Period. nt progressivebydesign Oct 2012 #27

How do you know? the demographic being discussed is the southern white WORKING class progree Oct 2012 #29

Why do you say that? former9thward Oct 2012 #24

Yep, you're right. Robme's margin in RED states is much greater than Obama's margin in BLUE Liberal_Stalwart71 Oct 2012 #19

I don't think voter suprpression is affecting the polls. But it might cause a "November Surprise" nt progree Oct 2012 #20

The voter suppression, in and of itself, may not. But if there's fraud during the registration Liberal_Stalwart71 Oct 2012 #22

My thought was that the Dems would think they were registered, when they are not ... progree Oct 2012 #25

The Romney comeback begins oswaldactedalone Oct 2012 #6

better link? creeksneakers2 Oct 2012 #7

must have wrote it in wrong. hrmjustin Oct 2012 #9

Let's see here... jaysunb Oct 2012 #10

bad link.... MADem Oct 2012 #11

That's 1100 Americans right there. NCLefty Oct 2012 #12

Compared to their last poll, Obama is +1... Drunken Irishman Oct 2012 #13

Obama is also only +2 in POLITCO's new poll this morning TroyD Oct 2012 #17

250 million dollars and polls Phaerisee Oct 2012 #26

Good. That'll get out the vote. Indpndnt Oct 2012 #28

Swing state polls are what matter budkin Oct 2012 #31