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Response to bigdarryl (Original post)

Thu Sep 20, 2012, 07:24 AM

4. These folks haven't updated their article stats for a week or more

http://www.nationaljournal.com/hotline/ad-spending-in-presidential-battleground-states-20120620

But the strange thing there was that Super PAC spending for Romney dried up for the most recent two weeks they reported (they didn't report on this week's spending). If Romney was running into money trouble, and he must have been because Romney borrowed $20 mil, you would think the Super PACs we've heard so much about would be right there to come to the rescue.

I looked at Rove's EV map for last April and compared it with what it would look like today. With OH, VA & WI all going over +4 Obama yesterday in the Real Clear poll of polls for those states, the EV map today is quite similar to last April. In other words, they have spent hundreds of millions of dollars since April and been unable to materially move the needle. What is worse today is that the undecideds are now much smaller on the same map - almost record lows for this point in time of the election. It's harder to change someone's mind than it is to swing an undecided your way.

They would know the real situation long before we would. Maybe two weeks ago, they saw this coming and effectively threw in the towel on Romney financially. They'll probably try to shore him up some where they can to try to help down the ticket but Romney's money troubles may be the result of the Super PACs and the GOP largely giving up on him.

Maddow reported last night that Romney has "strangely" only been doing an event a day and often that hasn't been in battleground states - he's not been out campaigning. He's been raising money that the media figured he didn't need and it puzzled the media. So that's more evidence of his money troubles.

It would be quite ironic if the $250 million dollar man and supposed turnaround artist ran out of dough in his failure to turn around the biggest quest of his career. But the lesson might be that this was one deal he couldn't leverage past the public and media with a slight of hand like he did throughout his career at Bain.

If we can get updated figures on the ad spending and the Super PACs have dropped out/pulled back, I don't know how else we could conclude reasons for their actions with less than 50 days to go

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Replies to this discussion thread
Arrow 13 replies Author Time Post
bigdarryl Sep 2012 OP
madokie Sep 2012 #1
Not Me Sep 2012 #2
Ecumenist Sep 2012 #3
LineNew Reply These folks haven't updated their article stats for a week or more
cleduc Sep 2012 #4
cleduc Sep 2012 #8
ggdavidgarrett Sep 2012 #5
leftynyc Sep 2012 #6
tjdee Sep 2012 #9
12AngryBorneoWildmen Sep 2012 #11
nc4bo Sep 2012 #12
wilt the stilt Sep 2012 #7
cleduc Sep 2012 #10
BlueToTheBone Sep 2012 #13
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