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Environment & Energy
In reply to the discussion: Don't believe the extremists: No Big Changes In Leaked Draft AR5 Report [View all]joshcryer
(62,269 posts)43. Right, low confidence. See page 18 of the SPM.
Likelihood that trend occurred in late 20th century (typically post 1950): Low confidence
Likelihood of a human contribution to observed trend: Low confidence
Likelihood of future trends based on projections for the next few decades: Not assessed
Likelihood of future trends based on projections for 21st century using RCP scenarios: Likely in some regions
Yet we know from the cloud cover observations that indeed drought is slated to get worse.
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Don't believe the extremists: No Big Changes In Leaked Draft AR5 Report [View all]
Nederland
Dec 2012
OP
And there's no sign that we are deviating from the highest-carbon scenarios.
GliderGuider
Dec 2012
#11
They don't even assess drought. Hopefully that's changed before AR5 is finished.
joshcryer
Dec 2012
#15
Which is how I'm beginning to think the IPCC should conduct it's business as well.
AverageJoe90
Dec 2012
#63
Nope, sorry - and the Chicken Little cartoon was the last straw - hot-button for me
hatrack
Dec 2012
#90
Isn't it perhaps possible that methane may not have as much of a impact.....
AverageJoe90
Dec 2012
#61
You aren't allowed to allude to that "possibility" without a leaked IPCC AR5 snippet to back you up
NoOneMan
Dec 2012
#64
He is not qualified according to the criteria Rajendra Pachauri claimed was used
Nederland
Dec 2012
#84