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In reply to the discussion: Can you solve this puzzle? [View all]
Can you solve this puzzle? [View all] pokerfan Feb 2012 OP
I think there are two ways of looking at this, and either one is breakeven or better. Systematic Chaos Feb 2012 #1
You've looked at this backwards. Chan790 Feb 2012 #5
I think the odds are 50 % that it's red. LisaL Feb 2012 #7
Check out the big brain on Chan pokerfan Feb 2012 #9
One card has two green sides. You didn't pick that one. LisaL Feb 2012 #10
you have to count both sides as independent events pokerfan Feb 2012 #12
You are not setting it up correctly since OP claims one card has both sides green. LisaL Feb 2012 #13
Do you agree that three cards results in six possibilities? pokerfan Feb 2012 #15
But once the card is out quakerboy Feb 2012 #16
You can't combine the two independent R/R events pokerfan Feb 2012 #18
I suck at math, but I don't agree. Curmudgeoness Feb 2012 #19
This message was self-deleted by its author pokerfan Feb 2012 #22
It might look like there are just two options pokerfan Feb 2012 #23
But you can eliminate one. quakerboy Feb 2012 #20
You can't combine the two (eliminate one) pokerfan Feb 2012 #25
You've already eliminated one. LisaL Feb 2012 #31
I did, just to confirm my hypothesis quakerboy Feb 2012 #34
Amazing pokerfan Feb 2012 #36
You're not doing your experiment with only two cards, are you? petronius Feb 2012 #37
Think of it this way. Incitatus Feb 2012 #39
R/R, G/G or R/G Motown_Johnny Feb 2012 #35
yes warrior1 Feb 2012 #2
No, he wouldn't be a very good conman if the odds were even. Chan790 Feb 2012 #3
The other side is either red or green. So that's 50 % odds. LisaL Feb 2012 #8
Ding Ding Ding cbrer Feb 2012 #21
I have a lottery ticket pokerfan Feb 2012 #26
Riiiiiiiight... cbrer Feb 2012 #29
The odds of it being a winning ticket are not 50-50. LisaL Feb 2012 #30
That would be true if he had to pick his color before you drew, petronius Feb 2012 #33
If the other guy Newest Reality Feb 2012 #4
Is this a variation on the Monty Hall door conundrum? csziggy Feb 2012 #6
sort of pokerfan Feb 2012 #11
Yeah but my family is an illustration that probabilities mean nothing csziggy Feb 2012 #14
Hell no joeglow3 Feb 2012 #17
Correct! Dembearpig Feb 2012 #24
your chances are 50-50, but his chances are better than yours LisaL Feb 2012 #32
Of course I take that bet! But then, I'm stumbling drunk at the time petronius Feb 2012 #27
There's two different events being sampled here. baldguy Feb 2012 #28
Correct Art_from_Ark Feb 2012 #38
Answers to last week's puzzler pokerfan Feb 2012 #40
The con-man wins if a one-colour card is chosen. SwissTony Feb 2012 #41
Fuck no. Cold cock punch him and steal his wallet. HopeHoops Feb 2012 #42
We often think very much alike! RedCloud Feb 2012 #44
dang nab it. I accidently shot him out of excitement! RedCloud Feb 2012 #43
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