2. IMHO the numbers aren't intended to inform but rather rally the R's
People believe what they want to believe.
Numbers, even wholly concocted numbers, will be believed by those who want to believe them, and dismissed by those who aren't open to persuasion. That's the nature of partisanship information management.
That's the nature of Wisconsin politics.
The support for Walker hasn't changed since last January, when the electoral sweep allowed ALEC derived plans to beput in motion by the Fitz.' The recall crew out to restore Wisconsin, is still hot under the collar and there seems to be too few undecideds to matter.
So why tell lies?
Because it turns up the flame on partisanship bickering. Bickering is especially good for the R's outstate teahadists
The R's need to stir up their teahadists--a really big turn out is essential to saving Walker.
Lies create an environment in which conflicts arise over information each side gets to say the other side are dirty stinkin liars.
That's motivating and will help the r's vote turnout.