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Response to toddwv (Reply #1)

Tue Jan 31, 2012, 11:40 AM

23. by which you mean deep SOUTH

the ten reddest states by victory margin in the 2008 election

Wy - 32.24
Ok - 31.29
Ut - 28.02
Id - 25.30
Al - 21.58
Ak - 21.54
Ark - 19.85
La - 18.63
Ky - 16.22
Tn - 15.06
Ne - 14.93
Ks - 14.92

Okay, that is 12, but notice that 3 of the 4 deepest red states are not on the list of 10 worst states for kids. Arizona's victory margin for McCain was only 8.48, and neighboring New Mexico and Nevada both went for Obama by over 10%. Yes, the worst state for kids is a blue state. Arkansas by the way only went for Bush by 9.76 in 2004. It became deep red in 2008 because of what Obama did to Hillary, their native daughter, as it were, in the primary.

The deepest red states in 2004

Utah - 45.54
Wy - 39.79
Id - 38.12
Ne - 33.22
Ok - 31.14
ND - 27.36
Al - 25.62
Ak - 25.55
Ks - 25.38
Tx - 22.86
SD - 21.47
Mt - 20.50
Ky - 19.86
Ms - 19.69

Again, the four deepest red states are not on the list of ten worst for kids. I would also note that the West is deeper red than the south. Some of that may come from the triage. Kerry, having limited resources in a close race, did not bother to campaign in places like ND or Ne or Ks or Ok or SD. The Obama campaign, having more copious resources in 2008, put some effort into those states. It did not really pay off, except in lowering the margin of victory, but Obama won a number of traditionally red states like Nevada, Colorado, Virginia, North Carolina and Indiana. In a perhaps closer race, it may once again make sense to write off ND and Ks instead of wasting limited resources chasing after 9 electoral votes you are not gonna win anyway.

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Replies to this discussion thread
Arrow 23 replies Author Time Post
Bozita Jan 2012 OP
toddwv Jan 2012 #1
LineLineNew Reply by which you mean deep SOUTH
hfojvt Jan 2012 #23
seabeyond Jan 2012 #2
get the red out Jan 2012 #3
seabeyond Jan 2012 #4
Kablooie Jan 2012 #5
PatentlyDemocratic Jan 2012 #16
Liberal_Stalwart71 Jan 2012 #6
dawg Jan 2012 #8
Liberal_Stalwart71 Jan 2012 #9
Alcibiades Jan 2012 #17
Liberal_Stalwart71 Jan 2012 #20
zbdent Jan 2012 #7
Kurmudgeon Jan 2012 #10
Major Hogwash Jan 2012 #11
Art_from_Ark Jan 2012 #12
provis99 Jan 2012 #13
NYC_SKP Jan 2012 #14
Chico Man Jan 2012 #15
dipsydoodle Jan 2012 #18
BlueIris Jan 2012 #19
DonCoquixote Jan 2012 #21
xocet Jan 2012 #22
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