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joshcryer

(62,265 posts)
62. But you insult "smugness" in critics.
Mon Dec 16, 2013, 07:03 AM
Dec 2013

Maybe the critics are in the minority, poor or rich alike, who understand the Gambler's fallacy?

The Gambler's fallacy goes beyond ones own intuition or cognitive ability, indeed, it directly notes ones biases to be persuaded by numbers which aren't in their favor. This disproportionately affects the poor or people convinced they're poorer than they are, in such a way as to make them empty their wallets to play the game.

It's not about some one off fantasy, it's about a regular investment.

Hint: in less than 6 hours my brother is about to put his newborn daughters fucking formula money into lottery tickets to win this fucking bullshit, after repeated explanations as to the fact that he could die of suffocation, be hit by a car walking down the street, or being hit by lightning. He's one of the people who, while I would not say is stupid, is biased by the Gambler's fallacy. Oh, I gave him $5 to give me a ticket, too (we're in Nevada he has to drive out of state). If I win you get a million dollars. If only because you believe it is emotional (as opposed to economic / class based) to buy into highly improbable economic events.

You appear to dismiss the state taking advantage of economic desperation as you suggest it is merely people partaking in fantasy about how they might spend monies they will, most certainly, never see.

edit: strike that, you'll get $10 million if I win on $5 of random quick picks, that's how much I consider this a joke of epic proportions. A pure joke. I'm more likely to be buying my nieces formula for the next two weeks because my brother isn't thinking about his family and will be in the negative for the next couple of weeks. All because "emotional fantasy" that I, the smug asshole, am not considering (how about the asshole not buying his own daughter formula to gamble? Oh, no, poor guy, he has to fulfill his emotional reasons to gamble).

They recently worsened the odds against winning this game. Loudly Dec 2013 #1
This is sad yeoman6987 Dec 2013 #44
Lottery: A tax on simple people bad at simple math Nanjing to Seoul Dec 2013 #2
well sure - normally the chance might be 10 zectillion to one against winning -but if God wants you Douglas Carpenter Dec 2013 #3
was that the hand of god helping out with a lottery commercial? hooo boy tomm2thumbs Dec 2013 #9
God & the lottery Cirque du So-What Dec 2013 #17
winning the lottery versus divine intervention Douglas Carpenter Dec 2013 #21
And here we go... ElboRuum Dec 2013 #7
Thank you. I'm sick of hearing it too. shireen Dec 2013 #11
An old friend of mine jokingly called it "investment diversification" Bibliovore Dec 2013 #12
+1 GreenPartyVoter Dec 2013 #31
people keep doing the pointless: the true mark of insanity and stupidity. Nanjing to Seoul Dec 2013 #15
Well, I'll bet you're a lot of fun at parties! The_Commonist Dec 2013 #22
wow. what a rude, classless and totally pointless personal attack. Nanjing to Seoul Dec 2013 #26
And yet calling people stupid and insane is classy? The_Commonist Dec 2013 #45
When people piss their money way down the lottery toilet, yes Nanjing to Seoul Dec 2013 #46
there's going to be one or a few people out there for whom it won't be pointless to buy a ticket magical thyme Dec 2013 #51
And you'd be wrong. ElboRuum Dec 2013 #52
To a select few... ElboRuum Dec 2013 #53
It suits me well. I have a large group of friends, a beautiful wife, an amazing career Nanjing to Seoul Dec 2013 #55
Odd... ElboRuum Dec 2013 #68
Wow. . .logical leap, assuming my life revolves around a website I frequent. Nanjing to Seoul Dec 2013 #69
DU is populated with all sorts. ElboRuum Dec 2013 #73
again, personal attacks. i'll stop this and take my coffee on the porch Nanjing to Seoul Dec 2013 #75
Funny, I thought I was "dismissed". ElboRuum Dec 2013 #76
Oh, thanks for this comment and... JackRiddler Dec 2013 #30
again, nice baseless, classless and pointless attack. Nanjing to Seoul Dec 2013 #32
So sad that you're unwilling to learn. JackRiddler Dec 2013 #33
No, it is popular the same way religion is popular. Nanjing to Seoul Dec 2013 #35
And I would say it's the critics that are the ones bad at math. kentauros Dec 2013 #41
I will buy one ticket for this lottery, if I remember to do so. I so rarely buy a lottery ticket it' CTyankee Dec 2013 #71
It's no one's retirement plan... ElboRuum Dec 2013 #74
Of course. But I used to hear it all the time, even back before I retired 10 years ago... CTyankee Dec 2013 #77
Regardless Cirque du So-What Dec 2013 #18
OK now I am going to buy $ 10 worth. grantcart Dec 2013 #23
when you lose, i promise not to gloat. Nanjing to Seoul Dec 2013 #25
If you win please give me $10 million. joshcryer Dec 2013 #42
Smugness: A cheap and false sense of superiority. JackRiddler Dec 2013 #28
The lottery is a regressive tax on the poor. joshcryer Dec 2013 #43
Stating the superfluous causes cancer. JackRiddler Dec 2013 #47
Aww, nah, you just minimized it as emotional fantasy playing around. joshcryer Dec 2013 #58
"emotions and psychology" are due to impoverishment and desparation joshcryer Dec 2013 #57
As I'm fine with the underlying ideas... JackRiddler Dec 2013 #59
But you insult "smugness" in critics. joshcryer Dec 2013 #62
Sigh. JackRiddler Dec 2013 #64
There is no victim blaming here. joshcryer Dec 2013 #65
Stop attempting to attribute your words to me. JackRiddler Dec 2013 #66
It's trivially inferred. joshcryer Dec 2013 #67
This message was self-deleted by its author delrem Dec 2013 #4
Now remember, you can't lose if you don't play. egold2604 Dec 2013 #5
heh heh heh -- I'm using that on my mother! thanks tomm2thumbs Dec 2013 #10
Funny Cirque du So-What Dec 2013 #19
Damn, the clerk swore he would sell me the winner.... hadrons Dec 2013 #6
Someone will win, and that win puts them in a position to do a lot of good. Jefferson23 Dec 2013 #8
Kind of a weird justification for it don't you think? JackRiddler Dec 2013 #34
I don't take it seriously, at all. Nor do I bother juggling the social upheaval you seem to suggest Jefferson23 Dec 2013 #49
No. JackRiddler Dec 2013 #60
I just read here at DU, about a guy who won the lottery yet died broke. Archae Dec 2013 #48
How sad, seems he had a history of personal difficulties long before he won the money Jefferson23 Dec 2013 #50
I'm in... Earth_First Dec 2013 #13
I bought two tickets yesterday underpants Dec 2013 #14
75 white balls lobodons Dec 2013 #16
I play so KewlKat Dec 2013 #20
Let's see here... jmowreader Dec 2013 #24
My brother-in-law's brother won $7 million in CT lottery. 1000words Dec 2013 #38
Hey my odds just went UP! I don't know anybody who has won any kind of lottery money... CTyankee Dec 2013 #72
I broke down & bought a ticket today. I should've just torched my $2, but oh well, lol catbyte Dec 2013 #27
I bought one. 840high Dec 2013 #29
Hey, SOMEBODY's gotta win, right? I know I have a better chance of being struck by a catbyte Dec 2013 #36
A buck it cheap for a few days of dreaming ripcord Dec 2013 #39
That's over a half of BILLION dollars 1000words Dec 2013 #37
Simple question Tom Rinaldo Dec 2013 #54
No it's not. JackRiddler Dec 2013 #63
Reminds me of a joke Packerowner740 Dec 2013 #40
Sign me up...I skipped the last one because it was too small. ileus Dec 2013 #56
That number is a shameless lie. JackRiddler Dec 2013 #61
Well Business Insider said a $1 ticket could be defended as an investment, sort of Tom Rinaldo Dec 2013 #70
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