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Reply #5


Response to NICO9000 (Reply #2)

Wed Nov 28, 2012, 01:14 PM

5. That's one of two valid strategies

 

If you don't buy a ticket you can't win.
If you buy 1 ticket you chances rise from 0 to 1 in 175M. It's an infinitesimal chance but you've increased your odds by an inifinite amount. (1/0)
If you buy 2 tickets you only increase your chances by a factor of 2.
If you buy 3 tickets you only increase your chances by a factor of 1.5.
Every additional ticket is a diminishing return.

So, only buy 1.


-OR-

buy all 175,000,000 variations. With a cash payoff of $361M that's a guaranteed profit $186M.

Anybody got $175M I can borrow?

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Replies to this discussion thread
Arrow 43 replies Author Time Post
Omaha Steve Nov 2012 OP
tinrobot Nov 2012 #1
NICO9000 Nov 2012 #2
LineLineReply That's one of two valid strategies
IDoMath Nov 2012 #5
Thav Nov 2012 #8
KewlKat Nov 2012 #9
sofa king Nov 2012 #12
VWolf Nov 2012 #14
IDoMath Nov 2012 #18
VWolf Nov 2012 #23
coalition_unwilling Nov 2012 #39
W T F Nov 2012 #22
VWolf Nov 2012 #25
IDoMath Nov 2012 #31
coalition_unwilling Nov 2012 #40
W T F Nov 2012 #42
GoCubsGo Nov 2012 #29
coalition_unwilling Nov 2012 #38
Dakota Flint Nov 2012 #32
coalition_unwilling Nov 2012 #37
onehandle Nov 2012 #3
VWolf Nov 2012 #16
loyalkydem Nov 2012 #4
Thav Nov 2012 #6
Debau2005 Nov 2012 #13
Atypical Liberal Nov 2012 #7
brooklynite Nov 2012 #11
question everything Nov 2012 #10
Separation Nov 2012 #17
VWolf Nov 2012 #21
question everything Nov 2012 #28
GoCubsGo Nov 2012 #30
RC Nov 2012 #34
ElboRuum Nov 2012 #36
qazplm Nov 2012 #15
Panasonic Nov 2012 #20
Duer 157099 Nov 2012 #24
Atypical Liberal Nov 2012 #26
Duer 157099 Nov 2012 #27
Panasonic Nov 2012 #19
Fuddnik Nov 2012 #33
Dakota Flint Nov 2012 #35
coalition_unwilling Nov 2012 #41
democrat2thecore Nov 2012 #43
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