By a 41-point margin, Ohio union members are voting for President Obama (70%) over Mitt Romney (29%) in the presidential race. The early vote among Ohio union members tilts even more heavily in President Obama’s favor (79% to 21%).
Obama’s support among Ohio union members has increased by five percentage points since 2008. Our Election Night and post-election polling in 2008 showed Obama winning 65% of the Ohio union vote, so even accounting for each poll’s margin of error, Obama currently is performing at least as well among Ohio members, if not better, than he did in 2008. …
Strong Democratic performance among Ohio union members is reducing Romney’s support among key demographic groups that he needs in order to carry Ohio.
Obama and Brown are carrying 70% of the union vote in Ohio despite the fact that the membership there is 83% white, 40% Evangelical Christian, and 53% gun owners — all groups where Romney needs to “run up the score” in order to stay in contention.
Indeed, Obama is winning 65% of white union members, 50% of Evangelical union members, and 59% of union gun households.