4. I agree with you here, except I'm certain the incident that I think they are trying
to provoke is far larger than the one you think they are trying to provoke. I think they are trying to get Hezbollah moving and start hitting the northern territories. In my opinion we are closing in on the beginning of the end here. I have a good idea what most of the participants will do. It's the two large ones, Russian and China that I wonder about. To what advantage is it to either of them to have Iranian oil shut off?