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Reply #33


Response to banned from Kos (Reply #22)

Sat Aug 18, 2012, 10:51 PM

33. Absolutely. That should be the starting point for valuation.

Instead most of the analyst jokers are still going with the PE based on the fictitious "expected future earnings" which will not materialize in Facebook's case. In the US, the engagement level has already peaked and is going downhill. There is still growth in third world countries, but these aren't going to be as attractive to advertisers for years.

Most analysts are hanging their hat on the mobile monetization problem (there aren't enough pixels on cell phones for a lot of ads, and people really don't want their cell phone cluttered with ads. But the Facebook problems are more fundamental, and really have very little to do with mobile.

It is just a business case that never made sense.

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Arrow 38 replies Author Time Post
Omaha Steve Aug 2012 OP
kestrel91316 Aug 2012 #1
Fuddnik Aug 2012 #2
Liberal_in_LA Aug 2012 #11
vkkv Aug 2012 #15
virgogal Aug 2012 #3
bupkus Aug 2012 #18
ChairmanAgnostic Aug 2012 #20
Skittles Aug 2012 #26
RKP5637 Aug 2012 #27
onehandle Aug 2012 #4
Occulus Aug 2012 #5
onehandle Aug 2012 #6
JackRiddler Aug 2012 #7
onehandle Aug 2012 #19
ChairmanAgnostic Aug 2012 #21
David Zephyr Aug 2012 #24
David Zephyr Aug 2012 #23
BlueStreak Aug 2012 #10
AntiFascist Aug 2012 #25
RKP5637 Aug 2012 #28
AntiFascist Aug 2012 #30
malokvale77 Aug 2012 #31
JackRiddler Aug 2012 #36
cottonseed Aug 2012 #32
crimson77 Aug 2012 #8
XemaSab Aug 2012 #9
Liberal_in_LA Aug 2012 #12
jsr Aug 2012 #13
SunSeeker Aug 2012 #14
iamthebandfanman Aug 2012 #16
sendero Aug 2012 #17
banned from Kos Aug 2012 #22
LineLineNew Reply Absolutely. That should be the starting point for valuation.
BlueStreak Aug 2012 #33
DontTreadOnMe Aug 2012 #29
TeamPooka Aug 2012 #34
Sabriel Aug 2012 #35
petronius Aug 2012 #37
MrSlayer Aug 2012 #38
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