Reply #4

In the discussion thread: [Oregon] Marijuana Measure Qualifies for Ballot [View all]

Sat Jul 14, 2012, 03:08 PM

4. It's sadly not at all certain that any of these initiatives will pass.

The conventional wisdom among initiative experts is that they need to be polling at 60% or more at the beginning of the campaign. They always lose some support at the end as the opposition mobilizes.

The latest polls have the Colorado initiative faring best, with 56%, I think, and the Washington and Oregon initiatives polling about 50%.

It looks like both the Washington and Colorado initiatives will be well-funded; too soon to say for Oregon.

Still, I'm hoping for a legalization trifecta in November.

Reply to this post

Back to OP Alert abuse Link to post in-thread

Always highlight: 10 newest replies | Replies posted after I mark a forum

Replies to this discussion thread

29 replies	Author	Time	Post
[Oregon] Marijuana Measure Qualifies for Ballot [View all]	Comrade Grumpy	Jul 2012	OP
Not the most important issue of the election	OutNow	Jul 2012	#1
I disagree, it is critical in these states and might decide the national election	kristopher	Jul 2012	#6
Colorado will be the state to watch. It's one of those key swing states.	Comrade Grumpy	Jul 2012	#7
Johnson isn't going to change the equation	kristopher	Jul 2012	#8
What? The Colorado Democratic Party endorsed legalization.	joshcryer	Jul 2012	#11
Yes, the state party endorsed. The national party not so much.	Comrade Grumpy	Jul 2012	#13
Obama won Colorado in 2008 53/44.	joshcryer	Jul 2012	#14
Oregon also De-Scheduled Cannabis from	fredamae	Jul 2012	#2
If they are voting on electronic machines, and they don't count the vote. I guess we know how this	midnight	Jul 2012	#3
It's sadly not at all certain that any of these initiatives will pass.	Comrade Grumpy	Jul 2012	#4
Oregon is a "vote by mail" state and thankfully companies like ES&S and Diebold can keep the F out!	cascadiance	Jul 2012	#5
while we do vote by mail, IIRC the tabulators are ES&S	0rganism	Jul 2012	#12
k&r n/t	RainDog	Jul 2012	#9
I am SO grateful to be living in Oregon	99th_Monkey	Jul 2012	#10
I voted for the medical marijuana ballot measure	davidpdx	Jul 2012	#15
here's some information	RainDog	Jul 2012	#17
Interesting, I'll look it over	davidpdx	Jul 2012	#18
never been to one myself	RainDog	Jul 2012	#19
It's still interesting to go in even if you don't do it.	davidpdx	Jul 2012	#20
LOL	RainDog	Jul 2012	#21
I never went overseas until I was 30	davidpdx	Jul 2012	#22
where did you live?	RainDog	Jul 2012	#23
South Korea since 2004	davidpdx	Jul 2012	#28
Portugal has had good success	roody	Jul 2012	#24
Well, since the President supports state's rights for gay marriage, I'm sure he'll make sure his	progressoid	Jul 2012	#16
I will happily vote for it in November.	Arugula Latte	Jul 2012	#25
Kicked and recommended for the great state of Oregon.	Uncle Joe	Jul 2012	#26
It's good that OR WA and COL have their fate in their own hands	musiclawyer	Jul 2012	#27
Tax Marijuana and Reduce the Federal Deficit	electedface	Jul 2012	#29

Edit History

Please login to view edit histories.