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Response to srican69 (Reply #70)

Fri Dec 21, 2012, 07:08 PM

74. Thanks. FBI data for the US is at variance with the data you used for your analysis.

 

http://www.fbi.gov/about-us/cjis/ucr/crime-in-the-u.s/2011/crime-in-the-u.s.-2011/tables/table-20

FBI UCR Table 20 Murder by State, Types of Weapons, 2011 reports Total Murders to Total Firearms is 8,541 for the states excluding Alabama and Florida.

Those states have a population of 290,194,635.

That gives a rate of 2.94 per 100k homicides committed with firearms.

Since your data includes countries that probably have few people that own multiple firearms as is the case in the US where each firearm owner owns almost 6 firearms, I believe the proper data is number of firearm owners.

Often used estimates are about 47-53 million citizens own firearms. With our current 2012 population of 314,052,913 and using the upper estimate, that yields a rate of 16.88 firearms per 100 people.

Those rates for the United States of 16,88 and 2.94 are significantly different than your data points of 88.80 and 10.20 putting the US in the vicinity of Belgium.

Please check the FBI data to confirm or reject my use of it.

jody

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