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davidn3600

(6,342 posts)

11. The opposition almost always gains in the mid-terms

Reply to boston bean (Original post)

Sat Nov 17, 2012, 12:24 PM

Nov 2012

I think there has only been a few minor exceptions throughout the last 100+ years.

Democrats gaining 17 seats in 2014 is a massive order when you look at the historical trends. It would go completely against the political cycles of the country.

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Nate Silver ~ Democrats Unlikely to Regain House in 2014 [View all] boston bean Nov 2012 OP

A year ago we were also told the Democrats would not win the Senate. Instead we have a 10 seat still_one Nov 2012 #1

here's to hoping things will change! boston bean Nov 2012 #2

We were also told that Obama probably would not get re-elected. GoCubsGo Nov 2012 #8

that's not true in the house cali Nov 2012 #10

even without akin a mourdock we still would have the majority in the Senate. As far as the house still_one Nov 2012 #20

we gained the majority of those seats in CA cali Nov 2012 #21

we are moving the right direction. We just got another seat in Arizona today. Things are changing still_one Nov 2012 #22

I agree with the gerrymandered comments, but HooptieWagon Nov 2012 #31

We need to enact districting/anti-gerrymandering laws. reformist2 Nov 2012 #3

Although we Democrats do it just as much frazzled Nov 2012 #5

We have got to figure out how to get out the mid-term vote..... Jade Fox Nov 2012 #4

How about ballot initiatives? NYC Liberal Nov 2012 #6

Good idea.... Jade Fox Nov 2012 #7

Here ya go. 99Forever Nov 2012 #17

We could do in with Howard Dean and the 50 state strategy.. ananda Nov 2012 #9

from you keyboard to the ears of the DNC members dlwickham Nov 2012 #18

The opposition almost always gains in the mid-terms davidn3600 Nov 2012 #11

If the media magically became balanced... upi402 Nov 2012 #13

Maybe if the Repubs are dumb enough to try another impeachment. NYC Liberal Nov 2012 #15

Despite the usual numbers... behindenemylins Nov 2012 #12

"the Cons are going to be out for blood." Hugin Nov 2012 #19

Probably true blue_onyx Nov 2012 #14

That gerrymandering was attempted in Minnesota. MineralMan Nov 2012 #16

actually Dayton was able to veto the maps dsc Nov 2012 #23

That's true, and the redistricting was done in a different way. MineralMan Nov 2012 #24

State level elections, govenors races every ten years after cencus, helped them redistrict. julian09 Nov 2012 #33

Democrats actually did well all things considered, meaning gerrymandering ProSense Nov 2012 #25

the problem is this was a high water mark dsc Nov 2012 #28

At the end of the day exboyfil Nov 2012 #26

So, if Democrats are able to maintain the new configuration it's a win. Kalidurga Nov 2012 #27

It's possible, it'll ProSense Nov 2012 #30

He is correct the odds of doing it are less than 50-50 grantcart Nov 2012 #29

It's Too Early To Make A Prognostication Of That Magnitude. DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2012 #32

did he have any predictions for the 2012 senate race? liberal_at_heart Nov 2012 #34

they also looked to take it 2010 pstokely Nov 2012 #36

That is nothing but a snapshot in time making a prediction two years ahead of time. If we do nothing Texas Lawyer Nov 2012 #35