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Sat Nov 10, 2012, 01:52 PM

We don't have a white voting problem. We have a southern, rural, white voting problem. [View all]

Barack Obama got 39% of the white vote on Tuesday.

While this seems low for those who don't follow politics, that number really isn't that bad. Democrats have fallen behind with white voters Nationally since 1964. In fact in 1992 Bill Clinton was elected President with only 38% of the white vote.
In 1984, Walter Mondale only had 36% of the white vote against Reagan. And most Democratic candidates over the last 20 years have ranged around 40-44% of the white vote Nationally. In 2008, Obama had 43% of the white vote, which for a democratic candidate, is about as good as you can do.


However its not that simple.

I went and pulled the Presidents % of the white vote for the New England states. Surprise! Surprise! He did very well.

White voters in the New England/Atlantic coastal states

Vermont
Obama 66%
Romney 33%

Massachusetts
Obama 57%
Romney 42%

Maine
Obama 57%
Romney 42%

New Hampshire
Obama 51%
Romney 47%

Connecticut
Obama 51%
Romney 48%

New York
Obama 48%
Romney 50%

New Jersey
Obama 43%
Romney 56%

Maryland
Obama 43%
Romney 56%

Pennsylvania
Obama 42%
Romney 57%

I could not find data for Rhode Island, Delaware or the District of Columbia.


I then went and pulled the exit poll data from 3 southern states.

White voters in the deep south:

Alabama
Obama 15%
Romney 84%

Mississippi
Obama 10%
Romney 89%

North Carolina
Obama 31%
Romney 68%

I could not find data for Georgia, Arkansas, Louisiana, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Kentucky and South Carolina. But you get the idea. I no longer view Virginia as a culturally southern state.



The truth is, Obama and the Democrats do just fine with white voters in almost any region of the country.

Here are some more examples

White voters midwest:

Wisconsin
Obama 48%
Romney 51%

Iowa
Obama 51%
Romney 47%

Minnesota
Obama 48%
Romney 49%

Illinois
Obama 46%
Romney 52%

Michigan
Obama 44%
Romney 54%

Indiana (As you can see, I didn't cherry pick the states!)
Obama 38%
Romney 60%

Ohio
Obama 41%
Romney 57%


And a state out west just to further the point.


White voters in the west:

Oregon
Obama 54%
Romney 44%



If you could take away the south, Obama probably would have had about 45% to 48% of the white vote on election day.

Our party does not have a problem with white voters. We have a problem with white southern and rural mountain voters.

Why can't the MSM get these facts right?


The difficulty is regional and cultural. Not necessarily racial.


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Reply We don't have a white voting problem. We have a southern, rural, white voting problem. [View all]
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