General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: All 150,000 members of this site should be flooding MSM and the DOJ with [View all]marions ghost
(19,841 posts)OK--when/if you do hear back from the analyst & other person--please some back and post your assessment then as a separate thread. A summary is all that's needed for discussion.
I see the issues with uncontrolled variables but it seems to me it's possible to work up a reasonably accurate (hypothetical) model from existing data. Access to the data would take work. But if you want your analysis to have validity, seems it has to meet every criteria for logical comparison.
I'm no mathematics head so I am just encouraging you to give us your argument in a more accessible format.
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One thing I don't think you can refute--the NSA analyst's statement in the paper that:
"The anomaly is not apparent in elections that don't include Republican candidates. In 2008, Mitt Romney had the benefit of this anomaly and then the gain switched to McCain once Romney exited the campaign. The Democrat Party elections we looked at don't show this problem."