HomeLatest ThreadsGreatest ThreadsForums & GroupsMy SubscriptionsMy Posts
DU Home » Latest Threads » Forums & Groups » Main » General Discussion (Forum) » Ohio is not a Toss Up Na...
Introducing Discussionist: A new forum by the creators of DU

Sat Oct 27, 2012, 07:23 PM

Ohio is not a Toss Up Nate Silver [View all]

Last edited Sat Oct 27, 2012, 07:55 PM - Edit history (1)

October 27, 2012
Taegan Goddard's Politcal Wire

Ohio Is Not a Toss Up
Nate Silver looks at the polling average in Ohio -- made up of roughly a dozen polling firms who have surveyed the state over the past 10 days -- and notes it shows President Obama with a 2.4 percentage point lead over Mitt Romney.

"There are no precedents in the database for a candidate losing with a two- or three-point lead in a state when the polling volume was that rich... It is misinformed to refer to Ohio as a toss-up. Mr. Obama is the favorite there, and because of Ohio's central position in the Electoral College, he is therefore the overall favorite in the election."

http://politicalwire.com/archives/2012/10/27/ohio_is_not_a_toss_up.html

26 replies, 2723 views

Reply to this thread

Back to top Alert abuse

Always highlight: 10 newest replies | Replies posted after I mark a forum
Replies to this discussion thread
Arrow 26 replies Author Time Post
Reply Ohio is not a Toss Up Nate Silver [View all]
Dalai_1 Oct 2012 OP
PABigDaddyDemocrat Oct 2012 #1
doc03 Oct 2012 #2
Dalai_1 Oct 2012 #3
beac Oct 2012 #10
sheshe2 Oct 2012 #18
morningfog Oct 2012 #4
Dalai_1 Oct 2012 #6
winstars Oct 2012 #21
Tutonic Oct 2012 #5
sheshe2 Oct 2012 #19
kansasobama Oct 2012 #7
Dalai_1 Oct 2012 #11
GetTheRightVote Oct 2012 #8
Logical Oct 2012 #9
Dalai_1 Oct 2012 #12
Logical Oct 2012 #13
Dalai_1 Oct 2012 #14
Logical Oct 2012 #15
Dalai_1 Oct 2012 #16
Warren DeMontague Oct 2012 #17
sheshe2 Oct 2012 #20
Gabi Hayes Oct 2012 #22
Dalai_1 Oct 2012 #23
Gabi Hayes Oct 2012 #24
Cha Oct 2012 #25
Dalai_1 Oct 2012 #26