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Response to Spazito (Reply #24)

Fri Oct 19, 2012, 05:24 PM

26. Hi Spazito!

Thanks for your kind words. Perhaps Nate Silver believes in the law of averages, since there are a couple D-leaning pollsters out there. What he might not understand, though, is that there are far more R-leaning pollsters than D-leaning, making the law of averages unworkable here, unless you weed out some of the R-leaning and balance them. I believe Nate Silver's results are skewed to the right this year, just by looking at them.


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