General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: Gravis Marketing Exposed II. The Evisceration of Douglas Kaplan [View all]1StrongBlackMan
(31,849 posts)from the look of it; I'm:
1) More confident that what we (Democrats) "feel" is closer to reality; than what is being reported. IOW, President Obama is doing better than is being reported ... alot better. (Now whether that is deliberate or innocent error is another question).
2) More inclined to take a wait and see position with Silver. How many poll compilers actually do in-depth investigations of their poll suppliers; beyond looking for bias, so that they can proper weight them. If Silver's model is quantity-driven, I doubt that he would ... it's all about more data, rather than more "good" data - and this is the flaw in his model.
But my wait and see will be short ... I'm pretty certain Silver has seen this piece; so innocent error rapidly becomes deliberate action, based on what is done with the information.
Thanks for the information.