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Response to DemocratSinceBirth (Reply #31)

Fri Oct 12, 2012, 11:56 PM

46. Three gue$$e$...

That is a real problem -- through most of this election season, you'd only occasionally get a dicey Eepublican outfit poll on an isolated state, and maybe, once a month, one such organization would dump (appropriate word) five or six skewed state polls at once, but that was about it. In the last week or two, it seems like you get such a dump every day -- or maybe two such firms, covering different sets of states (which, curiously, seem to be ones where a more-reputable firm has just reported "safe" numbers for the Democrats). There's just so much additional noise out there, it's hard to separate the wheat from the chaff -- and it seems as if Silver's solution is to abandon trying to draw such distinctions and just treat everything as being of equal significance.

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