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he is using really bad polls. hrmjustin Oct 2012 #1
Isn't he using the same polls he always has? Lex Oct 2012 #35
he is using these polls that have been shown to be gop leaning ARG in particular. hrmjustin Oct 2012 #44
If his model hasn't changed from when Obama was ahead Lex Oct 2012 #48
That's only true if the polls keep the same methodology. Qutzupalotl Oct 2012 #54
I have been wondering that, too. femmocrat Oct 2012 #2
I seriously doubt he's been compromised, though. AverageJoe90 Oct 2012 #22
Righties have been pumping out polls a mile a minute since the first debate Godless in Seattle Oct 2012 #50
e doesn't write the polls chemp Oct 2012 #3
He's not interpreting them. He's plugging them into his model and interpreting that. gkhouston Oct 2012 #4
You put it better than I did, thanks, GK. AverageJoe90 Oct 2012 #18
Hope so. The undecided voters can't be as swayable by B.S. as we may think.....or can they? AverageJoe90 Oct 2012 #25
pres blew the debate blueknight Oct 2012 #5
Somewhat true, but Romney's bounce ended not that long ago. nt AverageJoe90 Oct 2012 #16
You don't have to be a genius to see how Cha Oct 2012 #58
nate's numbers are as good as they were when they had us winning arely staircase Oct 2012 #6
I'm not so sure of that anymore. AverageJoe90 Oct 2012 #12
im not sure either arely staircase Oct 2012 #17
I hope to start donating myself. Wish me luck. nt =) AverageJoe90 Oct 2012 #24
luck upon you arely staircase Oct 2012 #27
Shooting the messenger? LeftyMom Oct 2012 #7
what happen to having a different point of view? DisabledAmerican Oct 2012 #13
Remember a few weeks ago when the right was all about skewed polls and creating their own reality? LeftyMom Oct 2012 #15
I agree, but that isn't what I'm doing. AverageJoe90 Oct 2012 #19
Your concern is noted seriously though I'm not buying the concern DisabledAmerican Oct 2012 #23
Are half of your 300 posts accusing people of concern trolling? LeftyMom Oct 2012 #28
Do you even know who the people are that found problems with his info? DisabledAmerican Oct 2012 #32
He adjusts for biased polls. This is not new. LeftyMom Oct 2012 #36
who said I was freaking out I just said this should be entertaining let them look into it DisabledAmerican Oct 2012 #42
This message was self-deleted by its author cthulu2016 Oct 2012 #57
I'm not the one concerned about a person looking into DisabledAmerican Oct 2012 #60
What you've said is true, in a way, BUT....... AverageJoe90 Oct 2012 #14
If they are it'll clear up in a few days with new data. LeftyMom Oct 2012 #20
Bingo which is why do not worry if they look into it. DisabledAmerican Oct 2012 #33
Maybe, but maybe not. We'll see. nt AverageJoe90 Oct 2012 #37
Or maybe Nate's not perfect? Maybe he is figuring in bad polling data? nm Cha Oct 2012 #59
You Don't Have To Be A Master Aggregator To Know The President Isn't Doing As Good As He Was DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #8
Your concern has been noted DisabledAmerican Oct 2012 #10
What Did I Sat That Is Remarkable? DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #30
This is going to be interesting DisabledAmerican Oct 2012 #9
disagree amborin Oct 2012 #11
I think it's because the debate screwed his numbers so badly budkin Oct 2012 #21
I'm beginning to think so, too.(no conspiracies, though) AverageJoe90 Oct 2012 #26
Here's the problem, ProSense Oct 2012 #29
How Come The Only Pollster "We Have" Is PPP And The Pubbies Literally Have At Least A Dozen? DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #31
Three gue$$e$... regnaD kciN Oct 2012 #46
It's the inertia of political events that are affecting the polls-- but it can and will change andym Oct 2012 #34
He's A Political Weathervane. DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #40
I took that all into account before writing this, though. nt AverageJoe90 Oct 2012 #45
Nate's a numbers guy Coexist Oct 2012 #38
I won't believe him again until his numbers look better for Obama. tritsofme Oct 2012 #39
It's not like Sam Wang is any more positive in the numbers ProudToBeBlueInRhody Oct 2012 #41
i think his model doesn't just aggregate a day's polling. i think it extrapolates a trend. unblock Oct 2012 #43
I would rather think that ejbr Oct 2012 #47
I have been wondering the same thing Samantha Oct 2012 #49
Thanks, Sam. AverageJoe90 Oct 2012 #61
For the most part, I trust him. You realize the right wingers have folks saying the same thing? nt cecilfirefox Oct 2012 #51
Not quite the same thing, Cecil. AverageJoe90 Oct 2012 #55
LOL, once again, we love Nate when it looks good and hate him when.... Logical Oct 2012 #52
Here's the thing, Logical. I don't 'hate' Nate. AverageJoe90 Oct 2012 #56
Nate know more about right wing polls than the whole DU combined.... Logical Oct 2012 #67
Yeah, but it certainly doesn't invalidate my point. AverageJoe90 Oct 2012 #68
LOL, maybe Nate was wrong when he had us winning 80% to 20%. I would love to match your... Logical Oct 2012 #71
C'mon man. AverageJoe90 Oct 2012 #75
Nate NAILED the 2008 election and predicted we would get our ass kicked in 2010 and the DU HATED... Logical Oct 2012 #80
Very true, BUT...... AverageJoe90 Oct 2012 #81
We should complain because we don't like the polls? MrSlayer Oct 2012 #53
We may have lost ground, but..... AverageJoe90 Oct 2012 #62
What makes you think Kossacks can know a 'bounce' has ended? muriel_volestrangler Oct 2012 #65
It's difficult for me to explain right now. AverageJoe90 Oct 2012 #70
Sorry, I think Nate Silver knows what he's doing. cali Oct 2012 #63
I'm not really saying he doesn't, BUT...... AverageJoe90 Oct 2012 #64
I agree with what you are saying and my guess is that Nate is in the process byeya Oct 2012 #69
I would hope so. AverageJoe90 Oct 2012 #76
Recommended for the interesting debate this OP has generated n/t Turborama Oct 2012 #66
Thanks. AverageJoe90 Oct 2012 #73
Looks like your theory has been validated here... Turborama Oct 2012 #85
You clearly know how to interpret polls better than Nate. former9thward Oct 2012 #72
Again, the problem is some of his sources, such as Mason-Dixon, etc. n/t AverageJoe90 Oct 2012 #74
No that is your problem not his. former9thward Oct 2012 #79
You're not listening, man. AverageJoe90 Oct 2012 #82
gigo nt OhZone Oct 2012 #77
Explain, please? nt AverageJoe90 Oct 2012 #83
G.I.G.O - OhZone Oct 2012 #84
I heard (from all places, Fox News) last night that the latest Virginia poll... CoffeeCat Oct 2012 #78
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