there's a nasty fight brewing in the 7th cd, ed perlmutter, the dem incumbent, is battling a coors for the seat. i really can't say how close the race is, but perlmutter has been around for a bit now and i don't know that i see it going for a coors.
the 2nd, my new district, will go to our incumbent jared polis handily. his opponent is an ultra conservative and i am lmaoing that the pukes picked him to run. like boulder is going to vote for him.
the 4th, out of which i was just redistricted, has been held by a republican for all but two years over the last 40, and the only reason it went blue in 08 was with help from the president. if it goes blue again this year, it will be for the same reason.
i think what could really make a difference is how much amendment 64 - which will legalize possession up to an ounce by people over 21, allow limited personal cultivation for personal use and allow retail marijuana sales - brings out the vote. it stands to reason that it will bring out the young vote, which usually goes to the dems, but there's a real libertarian bent here when it comes to personal freedoms and the president's medical marijuana policies may hurt him some. that said, i still think he will win co.
i can't speak much about the state house and senate, but dems have held the state senate for at least four years now but had a narrow minority in the house the last two. my state rep got term limited, so he's now running for state senate. i haven't looked much into my state house race yet.