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cthulu2016

(10,960 posts)

9. re: ABC and CNN LV models

Reply to ProSense (Original post)

Tue Sep 11, 2012, 01:26 AM

Sep 2012

CNN had no difference between RV and LV while ABC had a big difference so I assumed the ABC LV screen was a lot for exclusive, but apparently not.

ABC - LV = 83% of RV (Doesn't seem to be a model. Simply those who responded that they are certain to vote.)

CNN - LV = 81% of RV

It is, as always, funny how inaccurate people are on this question. About 1/3 of those "certain to vote' will, in fact, not vote.

2008 saw a turnout of 56.9% of registered voters

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22 replies

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Highlight:

ABC-WaPo poll: President Obama up by 6 points among RV [View all] ProSense Sep 2012 OP

Not a good poll at all for Obama. He only leads by one among LV. Drunken Irishman Sep 2012 #1

Yeah, I think Likely Voters is more indicative of election results. nt Honeycombe8 Sep 2012 #2

It's spin. Mitt ProSense Sep 2012 #5

Huh? Mitt ProSense Sep 2012 #3

I'm just sayin' ... LV model shows it a dead heat. Drunken Irishman Sep 2012 #4

It's still a ProSense Sep 2012 #6

Because RV is a useless number now if they don't vote. Drunken Irishman Sep 2012 #8

Before you edited, we're talking ABC-WaPo ProSense Sep 2012 #10

Just sayin', I'd love for the LV to be like their RV... Drunken Irishman Sep 2012 #11

Trend is important. ProSense Sep 2012 #12

ABC/Wash Post has had the worst #'s for Obama this year. Jennicut Sep 2012 #7

True. Now consider this ProSense Sep 2012 #13

42 to 48% in RV's? Ha! Jennicut Sep 2012 #14

It's like ProSense Sep 2012 #16

Still he gained three points among LV so there was a bump with them too WI_DEM Sep 2012 #19

re: ABC and CNN LV models cthulu2016 Sep 2012 #9

The overall sample ProSense Sep 2012 #15

One Point DemocratSinceBirth Sep 2012 #18

No you're not wrong. ProSense Sep 2012 #22

I Think CNN Had A Two Point Difference But That's Significantly Smaller Than Five DemocratSinceBirth Sep 2012 #20

The RV bounce is good. Still ProSense Sep 2012 #21

Kick! n/t ProSense Sep 2012 #17