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Keep hope alive! 1GirlieGirl Sep 2012 #1
LOL. Love that analogy catbyte Sep 2012 #32
Yes, yes I have nadinbrzezinski Sep 2012 #2
But federal judges in two battleground states have stopped voter suppression in them. CTyankee Sep 2012 #17
One of the things we all have to look is for a certain organization nadinbrzezinski Sep 2012 #40
Yup, I'm thinking the same thing! Remember how the Dems organized a whole bunch CTyankee Sep 2012 #46
Nate addressed this issue on his blog... cynatnite Sep 2012 #23
This needs a spotlight this week. The Wielding Truth Sep 2012 #27
Actually, Obama needs a good convention bounce just to maintain this separation. speedoo Sep 2012 #3
I was reading that blog pretty faithfully SheilaT Sep 2012 #4
Practically every liberal I know was addicted to that blog in 2008... CTyankee Sep 2012 #20
Nate's Blog oliverrams1 Sep 2012 #29
Lot of views this OP, minimal replies DainBramaged Sep 2012 #5
More likely that DU'ers just think it is still too early for predictions. n/t FSogol Sep 2012 #7
You are correct. SpankMe Sep 2012 #15
I don't think so DainBramaged Sep 2012 #30
thats on my reading list Coexist Sep 2012 #6
The trend seems to be that convention bumps are dead ProudToBeBlueInRhody Sep 2012 #8
I was watching Chris Matthews last night... Blue Belle Sep 2012 #9
Not exactly what Todd said... madguy Sep 2012 #14
That's when the "noise" from the 2 conventions will even out Lex Sep 2012 #19
Last night Rachel Maddow showed SheilaT Sep 2012 #41
I read that Monday or Tuesday following their convention were when we might see a bounce... cynatnite Sep 2012 #21
Obama keeps going up... MFM008 Sep 2012 #10
From what I hear the odds in Vegas are running heavily in Obama's favor too. Ganja Ninja Sep 2012 #11
EXCELLENT resource for up-to-date polls... Hulk Sep 2012 #12
That is comforting nightscanner59 Sep 2012 #13
Steady on. Make sure Obama has long coat tails to win the House and retain the Senate. nt Bernardo de La Paz Sep 2012 #16
agree with Nadinbrzezinski -- the models don't account for voter suppression and votes stealing nt MariaM83 Sep 2012 #18
Nate addressed this issue on his blog... cynatnite Sep 2012 #22
he said nothing about Florida or Ohio (!) AND nothing about *stealing* votes nt MariaM83 Sep 2012 #33
Me likey. SunSeeker Sep 2012 #24
What Is Nate Silver's Track Record? DallasNE Sep 2012 #25
Here you go... cynatnite Sep 2012 #26
Thanks DallasNE Sep 2012 #36
I wonder what his projections were exactly 4 years ago in early September '08? NotThisTime Sep 2012 #44
In addition to what cyannate said... Chan790 Sep 2012 #28
Did not know that. Thanks for pointing it out! Good to know. calimary Sep 2012 #34
K&R nt avebury Sep 2012 #31
The reason the model shows the bump... gcomeau Sep 2012 #35
k&r... spanone Sep 2012 #37
"We're winning every day." Jesse Jackson, 1984 Presidential Campaign. 99 Percent Sure Sep 2012 #38
Does he factor in electronic vote hacking and voter suppression tactics, tblue37 Sep 2012 #39
Yes. See here: berni_mccoy Sep 2012 #42
A question about Nate Silver's model: jimlup Sep 2012 #43
Yes, go read his synopsis for today - it is very informative, within 2 weeks one would hope to know NotThisTime Sep 2012 #45
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