Thu Nov 8, 2012, 01:08 PM

CU professor: Model predicting Romney win was "wrong"

Last edited Thu Nov 8, 2012, 01:09 PM USA/ET - Edit history (1)

BOULDER — Back in August, University of Colorado political science professors Kenneth Bickers and Michael Berry won national attention for projecting an Electoral College romp for Republican Mitt Romney based on a model relying heavily on state-level economic factors such as unemployment data and changes in personal income.
The academics later updated their estimates based on new data and gave the Republican a bigger edge — 330 Electoral College votes to President Barack Obama's 208. Bickers appeared on Fox's "The O'Reilly Factor" and conservative talk radio.

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I would love to know the partisan identity of these two hacks.

7 replies, 797 views

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7 replies	Author	Time	Post
CU professor: Model predicting Romney win was "wrong" (Original post)	DemocratSinceBirth	Nov 2012	OP
No shit	alcibiades_mystery	Nov 2012	#1
I Wonder How They Were Feeling As Romney Was Losing In The Polls	DemocratSinceBirth	Nov 2012	#2
I'm glad to see them finally eat their crow.	sadbear	Nov 2012	#3
Good Social Science Research Should Be Value Free	DemocratSinceBirth	Nov 2012	#5
Nate Silver Called...	JiminyJominy	Nov 2012	#4
some posters kept citing this on Nate's blog....	amborin	Nov 2012	#6
Pity they went through all that work to only	calico1	Nov 2012	#7

Response to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Thu Nov 8, 2012, 01:10 PM

alcibiades_mystery (28,411 posts)

1. No shit

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Response to alcibiades_mystery (Reply #1)

Thu Nov 8, 2012, 01:15 PM

DemocratSinceBirth (46,047 posts)

2. I Wonder How They Were Feeling As Romney Was Losing In The Polls

Last edited Thu Nov 8, 2012, 01:23 PM USA/ET - Edit history (2)

They would have had to have been off by seven or eight percent. But I think there were other craptastic models. I saw a list of thirteen models and only eight favored the president.

As an aside there aren't many conservatives in academia but the conservative ones are usually the most vocal.

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Response to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Thu Nov 8, 2012, 01:16 PM

sadbear (4,219 posts)

3. I'm glad to see them finally eat their crow.

They've been avoiding it for so long.

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Response to sadbear (Reply #3)

Thu Nov 8, 2012, 01:20 PM

DemocratSinceBirth (46,047 posts)

5. Good Social Science Research Should Be Value Free

The prescriptions for policy we make based on that research is up to us.

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Response to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Thu Nov 8, 2012, 01:18 PM

JiminyJominy (340 posts)

4. Nate Silver Called...

to say..

hahaahahahahahahahaahahahahaha DUMBASSES!!!

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Response to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Thu Nov 8, 2012, 01:33 PM

amborin (11,717 posts)

6. some posters kept citing this on Nate's blog....

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Response to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Thu Nov 8, 2012, 01:46 PM

calico1 (8,389 posts)

7. Pity they went through all that work to only

get it all wrong.

They could have saved themselves the trouble if they had just kept up with the 7/11 poll or the Halloween mask sales. Those were correct as they always are.

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