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Thu Nov 8, 2012, 01:08 PM

CU professor: Model predicting Romney win was "wrong"

BOULDER Back in August, University of Colorado political science professors Kenneth Bickers and Michael Berry won national attention for projecting an Electoral College romp for Republican Mitt Romney based on a model relying heavily on state-level economic factors such as unemployment data and changes in personal income.
The academics later updated their estimates based on new data and gave the Republican a bigger edge 330 Electoral College votes to President Barack Obama's 208. Bickers appeared on Fox's "The O'Reilly Factor" and conservative talk radio.


Read more: CU professor: Model predicting Romney win was "wrong" - The Denver Post http://www.denverpost.com/recommended/ci_21953154#ixzz2Beip0JWE
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I would love to know the partisan identity of these two hacks.

7 replies, 1229 views

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Always highlight: 10 newest replies | Replies posted after I mark a forum
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Reply CU professor: Model predicting Romney win was "wrong" (Original post)
DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2012 OP
alcibiades_mystery Nov 2012 #1
DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2012 #2
sadbear Nov 2012 #3
DemocratSinceBirth Nov 2012 #5
JiminyJominy Nov 2012 #4
amborin Nov 2012 #6
calico1 Nov 2012 #7


Response to alcibiades_mystery (Reply #1)

Thu Nov 8, 2012, 01:15 PM

2. I Wonder How They Were Feeling As Romney Was Losing In The Polls

They would have had to have been off by seven or eight percent. But I think there were other craptastic models. I saw a list of thirteen models and only eight favored the president.

As an aside there aren't many conservatives in academia but the conservative ones are usually the most vocal.

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Response to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Thu Nov 8, 2012, 01:16 PM

3. I'm glad to see them finally eat their crow.

They've been avoiding it for so long.

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Response to sadbear (Reply #3)

Thu Nov 8, 2012, 01:20 PM

5. Good Social Science Research Should Be Value Free

The prescriptions for policy we make based on that research is up to us.

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Response to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Thu Nov 8, 2012, 01:18 PM

4. Nate Silver Called...

to say..

hahaahahahahahahahaahahahahaha DUMBASSES!!!

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Response to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Thu Nov 8, 2012, 01:33 PM

6. some posters kept citing this on Nate's blog....

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Response to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Thu Nov 8, 2012, 01:46 PM

7. Pity they went through all that work to only

get it all wrong.

They could have saved themselves the trouble if they had just kept up with the 7/11 poll or the Halloween mask sales. Those were correct as they always are.

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