Wed Oct 31, 2012, 02:50 PM
Yul A (94 posts)
Americans Still Give Obama Better Odds to Win Election
Last edited Wed Oct 31, 2012, 03:08 PM - Edit history (1)
Source: Gallup (yeah, GALLUP!)
WASHINGTON, D.C. -- A majority of Americans continue to believe that Democratic President Barack Obama will win re-election Tuesday over Republican challenger Mitt Romney, by 54% to 34%. These views are roughly similar to where they were in May and August, although slightly more Americans now do not have an opinion either way.
These results are based on interviews conducted from Oct. 27-28 as part of the Gallup Daily election tracking survey, conducted before Hurricane Sandy hit the East Coast. It is unknown what effect the storm will have on Americans' voting preferences or the impact of the storm on Americans' perceptions of who is most likely to win the election.
The majority of Americans continue to project an Obama win on Nov. 6. This is the case even though the general perception is the race is highly competitive and the outcome still very much in doubt. National polls generally show a tight race with many, including Gallup, giving Romney an edge. State-level polls suggest Obama doing slightly better in key battleground states that will decide the Electoral College winner.
Americans have a good track record regarding their collective prediction of the outcome of presidential elections, correctly predicting the winner of the popular vote in final Gallup surveys taken in 1996, 2000, 2004, and 2008. Although Americans are not as optimistic on Obama's odds as various "prediction markets," such as Intrade.com, where the president has often been projected as having a probability of winning of more than 60%, the prediction markets and the American public in general find Obama the favorite against Romney. The 2012 presidential election outcome will help determine how accurate Americans are in their personal predictions.
Read more: http://www.gallup.com/poll/158444/americans-give-obama-better-odds-win-election.aspx?utm_source=alert&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=syndication&utm_content=morelink&utm_term=All%20Gallup%20Headlines
I guess all that Mittmentum was really Mythmentum, huh?
4 replies, 1384 views
Americans Still Give Obama Better Odds to Win Election (Original post)
|Yul A||Oct 2012||OP|
Response to uwbadgerdem (Reply #1)
Wed Oct 31, 2012, 09:52 PM
mjjoe (220 posts)
4. Whadda bunch of...
I thought Mittmentum was a load of BullMitt. Or given the attempt to create a horserace, perhaps a steaming pile of HorseMitt is a better description.
Response to Yul A (Original post)
Wed Oct 31, 2012, 03:03 PM
Stewland (163 posts)
2. Good News
I just shudder to think of a Romney victory. A return to the Bush era would be a great disappointment. The face of America is changing and the racist,bigoted,greedy and fascistic Republican Party should rightly be shunned. Looking back to the Republican faces in the primaries it seems just incredible that this race has tightened. The face of the Republican Party are slowly passing away and this I think is a very good thing.